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South East United vs South Hobart

Australia Australia

NPL Tasmania South East Complex, Sorell
Our Tip

Match Events

76' Event
Bowman J.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The NPL Tasmania game between South East United and South Hobart finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward South East United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
South East United
28%
Draws
50%
South Hobart
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: South Hobart

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • South East United haven't matched South Hobart's recent run of results.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on South Hobart taking it.
  • Regular NPL Tasmania form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
South East United Clean Sheet 10%
South Hobart Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South East United South Hobart
Matches Played 29 35
Wins 15 24
Draws 3 4
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.38 3.13
Goals Conceded 2.63 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 NPL Tasmania
South East United vs South Hobart
1:0
Apr 12, 2026 NPL Tasmania
South Hobart vs South East United
6:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South East United 22 / 100
South Hobart 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South East United South Hobart

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:4
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Attacking prowess: South East United scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

South Hobart let in goals in 69% of their last 35 matches.

Recent resilience: South East United stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

South East United VS South Hobart
1.38 Goals Scored 3.13
2.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

South East United

(Home)
19 Jul
South East United
4 : 1
Launceston United
11 Jul
Devonport
2 : 0
South East United
05 Jul
South East United
1 : 0
South Hobart
28 Jun
Launceston City
1 : 0
South East United
20 Jun
South East United
1 : 0
Glenorchy Knights
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South Hobart

(Away)
18 Jul
Devonport
1 : 3
South Hobart
11 Jul
South Hobart
2 : 0
Ulverstone
05 Jul
South East United
1 : 0
South Hobart
27 Jun
South Hobart
6 : 1
Glenorchy Knights
21 Jun
Kingborough Lions
1 : 1
South Hobart
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