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South Georgia Tormenta vs Sporting Jax

USA USA

USL Cup Tormenta Stadium, Statesboro, GA
Sat, Jul 11, 2026
VS
11:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 0-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. South Georgia Tormenta are expected to control this from the start. Recent numbers: South Georgia Tormenta at 1.96 goals for, 1.33 against; Sporting Jax at 1.14 for, 2.5 against. Head-to-head, South Georgia Tormenta have won 0 to Sporting Jax's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 11, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 2.04 vs 1.11, favoring South Georgia Tormenta. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
South Georgia Tormenta
15%
Draws
39%
Sporting Jax
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: South Georgia Tormenta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • South Georgia Tormenta carry the better recent record into this one.
  • South Georgia Tormenta are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • South Georgia Tormenta have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
South Georgia Tormenta Clean Sheet 20%
Sporting Jax Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Georgia Tormenta Sporting Jax
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 14 4
Draws 5 4
Losses 8 20
Goals Scored 1.96 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.33 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.04 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 USL Cup
South Georgia Tormenta vs Sporting Jax
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Georgia Tormenta 76 / 100
Sporting Jax 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Georgia Tormenta Sporting Jax

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick South Georgia Tormenta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

South Georgia Tormenta found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (26 games).

Sporting Jax let in goals in 96% of their last 28 matches.

South Georgia Tormenta went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Sporting Jax's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

South Georgia Tormenta VS Sporting Jax
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 2.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

South Georgia Tormenta

(Home)
17 Mar
South Georgia Tormenta
:
America CFL Spurs
03 Nov
Spokane Velocity
2 : 1
South Georgia Tormenta
25 Oct
South Georgia Tormenta
3 : 0
Texoma FC
18 Oct
Greenville Triumph
1 : 4
South Georgia Tormenta
12 Oct
Spokane Velocity
1 : 1
South Georgia Tormenta
Page 1 of 6

Sporting Jax

(Away)
16 Sept
Hartford Athletic
2 : 0
Sporting Jax
12 Sept
Sporting Jax
0 : 3
Rhode Island
05 Sept
Sporting Jax
3 : 2
Lexington
29 Aug
Brooklyn FC
4 : 1
Sporting Jax
23 Aug
Birmingham Legion
2 : 3
Sporting Jax
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spokane Velocity 4 3 0 1 6:6 9
2 Sacramento Republic 4 3 0 1 7:3 8
3 Athletic Club Boise 4 3 0 1 9:6 8
4 Oakland Roots 4 1 0 3 4:6 4
5 Las Vegas Lights 4 1 0 3 4:7 4
6 Monterey Bay 4 1 0 3 8:10 3
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colorado Springs 4 4 0 0 10:1 12
2 New Mexico 4 3 0 1 8:5 9
3 El Paso Locomotive 4 2 0 2 5:5 6
4 AV Alta FC 4 2 0 2 5:6 6
5 Phoenix Rising 4 1 0 3 3:8 3
6 Orange County SC 4 0 0 4 3:9 0
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Antonio FC 4 4 0 0 6:1 11
2 Birmingham Legion 4 3 0 1 8:3 9
3 One Knoxville 4 3 0 1 6:4 6
4 FC Tulsa 4 1 0 3 4:7 4
5 Corpus Christi FC 4 1 0 3 2:6 4
6 Chattanooga Red Wolves 4 0 0 4 2:7 2
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Louisville City 4 4 0 0 13:4 11
2 Detroit City 4 2 0 2 4:4 8
3 Indy Eleven 4 3 0 1 7:4 7
4 Lexington 4 2 0 2 8:8 6
5 Union Omaha 4 2 0 2 10:12 6
6 Forward Madison 4 1 0 3 6:10 3
7 Fort Wayne 4 0 0 4 6:12 1
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hartford Athletic 4 3 0 1 8:3 10
2 Rhode Island 4 3 0 1 7:3 7
3 Brooklyn FC 4 2 0 2 9:5 7
4 Portland Hearts of Pine 4 2 0 2 7:10 6
5 New York Cosmos 4 1 0 3 5:11 4
6 Westchester SC 4 1 0 3 6:10 2
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Charlotte Independence 4 4 0 0 8:4 10
2 Charleston 4 3 0 1 9:4 9
3 Pittsburgh Riverhounds 4 2 0 2 6:3 8
4 Greenville Triumph 4 1 0 3 4:7 3
5 Loudoun United 4 1 0 3 4:7 3
6 Richmond Kickers 4 1 0 3 3:9 3
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tampa Bay 4 4 0 0 10:1 12
2 Miami FC 4 3 0 1 11:5 9
3 Sporting Jax 4 1 0 3 3:5 4
4 Sarasota Paradise 4 1 0 3 2:9 3
5 FC Naples 4 1 0 3 3:9 2
6 South Georgia Tormenta 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams