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South Hobart U21 vs Hobart City

Australia Australia

Tasmania Southern Championship 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

South Hobart U21 play Hobart City in the Tasmania Southern Championship 2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, South Hobart U21 averaged 3.88 goals scored and 1.78 conceded. Hobart City averaged 2.75 goals scored and 1.75 conceded. In past meetings, South Hobart U21 won 1, Hobart City won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 23, 2026 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.88 for South Hobart U21 and 1.94 for Hobart City. This points to a South Hobart U21 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
South Hobart U21
15%
Draws
39%
Hobart City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: South Hobart U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • South Hobart U21 picked up more points recently compared to Hobart City.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.88 vs 1.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 53%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74%
South Hobart U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Hobart City Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 84%
Second Half Goal 88%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Hobart U21 Hobart City
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 22 18
Draws 3 5
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 3.88 2.75
Goals Conceded 1.78 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 4.38 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Tasmania Southern Championship
Hobart City vs South Hobart U21
3:2
Aug 23, 2025 Tasmania Southern Championship
Hobart City vs South Hobart U21
5:3
Aug 2, 2025 Tasmania Southern Championship
Hobart City vs South Hobart U21
1:2
May 25, 2025 Tasmania Southern Championship
South Hobart U21 vs Hobart City
0:3
Sep 1, 2024 Tasmania Southern Championship
South Hobart U21 vs Hobart City
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Hobart U21 43 / 100
Hobart City 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Hobart U21 Hobart City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: South Hobart U21 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21%
2.63
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.4%
1.22
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

South Hobart U21 attacking → ← attacking Hobart City

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

South Hobart U21 scored in 97% of their last 32 games.

Hobart City let in goals in 84% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

South Hobart U21 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Hobart City lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

69 Points in last 5 59
4.38 Goals expected (xG) 2.38
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1New Town Eagles16113262:2136
2South East United16101573:5331
3South Hobart U211692548:4229
4Olympia Warriors1682641:3626
5University of Tasmania1681750:4125
6Taroona1673643:3724
7Hobart United1663727:3321
8Metro Claremont16311234:7310
9Hobart City16121319:615