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South Korea vs El Salvador

World World

Friendly International America First Field
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Hwang In-Beom
45'
Cerritos M.
46'
Sub
Kim Seung-Gyu In: Song Bum-Keun
Out: Kim Seung-Gyu

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International game between South Korea and El Salvador finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward South Korea.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
South Korea
22%
Draws
18%
El Salvador
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: South Korea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • El Salvador haven't matched South Korea's recent run of results.
  • Model gives South Korea a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Friendly International form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
South Korea Clean Sheet 68%
El Salvador Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Korea El Salvador
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 18 11
Draws 6 9
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1.63 0.38
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 4, 2026 Friendly International
South Korea vs El Salvador
1:0
Jun 20, 2023 Friendly International
South Korea vs El Salvador
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

South Korea Compare

Top Goalscorer Lee Dong-Gyeong
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

El Salvador Compare

Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Korea 68 / 100
El Salvador 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Korea El Salvador

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

South Korea scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: El Salvador conceded in 71% of 34 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

South Korea has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

South Korea VS El Salvador
1.63 Goals Scored 0.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%