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South Melbourne W vs Alamein FC W

Australia Australia

NPL Victoria Women
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

South Melbourne W in this NPL Victoria Women matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored South Melbourne W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
South Melbourne W
20%
Draws
38%
Alamein FC W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: South Melbourne W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • South Melbourne W average 1.5 goals a game right now, well clear of Alamein FC W's 1.38.
  • South Melbourne W are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
South Melbourne W Clean Sheet 19%
Alamein FC W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Melbourne W Alamein FC W
Matches Played 22 22
Wins 11 11
Draws 6 3
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 1.5 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 NPL Victoria Women
Alamein FC W vs South Melbourne W
1:1
Apr 11, 2026 NPL Victoria Women
South Melbourne W vs Alamein FC W
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Melbourne W 42 / 100
Alamein FC W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Melbourne W Alamein FC W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

South Melbourne W found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (22 games).

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: South Melbourne W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Alamein FC W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 22 matches.

Scoring Trends

South Melbourne W VS Alamein FC W
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

South Melbourne W

(Home)
25 Jul
South Melbourne W
1 : 2
Bulleen Lions W
18 Jul
Alamein FC W
1 : 1
South Melbourne W
11 Jul
South Melbourne W
1 : 0
Spring Hills W
05 Jul
Boroondara Eagles W
1 : 0
South Melbourne W
27 Jun
South Melbourne W
2 : 2
Box Hill W
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Alamein FC W

(Away)
24 Jul
Box Hill W
2 : 0
Alamein FC W
18 Jul
Alamein FC W
1 : 1
South Melbourne W
11 Jul
Heidelberg Utd W
1 : 2
Alamein FC W
04 Jul
Alamein FC W
2 : 0
Preston Lions W
26 Jun
Bentleigh Greens W
1 : 1
Alamein FC W
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Box Hill W22162459:2450
2Essendon Royals W22152563:2447
3Bulleen Lions W22144453:2146
4Avondale FC W22142655:2244
5Boroondara Eagles W22131847:3440
6South Melbourne W22116543:2239
7Alamein FC W22113828:2436
8Spring Hills W22821226:3226
9Melbourne Victory U20 W21821135:4626
10Heidelberg Utd W22651132:4423
11Preston Lions W22651126:4123
12Keilor Park W22651122:3823
13Bentleigh Greens W22221817:748
14Melbourne City U20 W21211820:807
Promotion - NPL Victoria Women (Play Offs)