Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Southampton FC W vs Durham W

England England

WSL 2 St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Palmer A.
10' Event
Hepple B.
43'
Sub
Wade E. In: Goddard A.
Out: Wade E.

AI Match Summary

The WSL 2 game between Southampton FC W and Durham W finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Southampton FC W
11%
Draws
9%
Durham W
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Southampton FC W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Durham W haven't matched Southampton FC W's recent run of results.
  • Southampton FC W are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular WSL 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Southampton FC W Clean Sheet 68%
Durham W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Southampton FC W Durham W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 5 8
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.63 1.13
Goals Conceded 1 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 WSL 2
Durham W vs Southampton FC W
0:0
Nov 16, 2025 WSL 2
Southampton FC W vs Durham W
1:1
Jan 26, 2025 WSL 2
Durham W vs Southampton FC W
1:0
Nov 10, 2024 WSL 2
Southampton FC W vs Durham W
1:1
Dec 17, 2023 WSL 2
Durham W vs Southampton FC W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Southampton FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Primus A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Durham W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hepple B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Southampton FC W 86 / 100
Durham W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Southampton FC W Durham W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Durham W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Southampton FC W has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Southampton FC W scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Southampton FC W VS Durham W
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Southampton FC W

(Home)
02 May
Nottingham W
0 : 3
Southampton FC W
26 Apr
Southampton FC W
2 : 2
Charlton W
03 Apr
Southampton FC W
5 : 2
Sheffield Utd W
28 Mar
Ipswich W
1 : 2
Southampton FC W
22 Mar
Durham W
0 : 0
Southampton FC W
Page 1 of 6

Durham W

(Away)
02 May
Newcastle Utd W
0 : 1
Durham W
26 Apr
Durham W
2 : 1
Sheffield Utd W
05 Apr
Durham W
2 : 2
Bristol City W
29 Mar
Nottingham W
2 : 1
Durham W
22 Mar
Durham W
0 : 0
Southampton FC W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Birmingham W22142646:2444
2Crystal Palace W22135444:2644
3Charlton W22126431:2142
4Bristol City W22114747:3137
5Southampton FC W22105744:2635
6Newcastle Utd W2289532:2533
7Nottingham W22931027:3530
8Sunderland W22661028:3524
9Ipswich W22651126:4223
10Durham W22571027:3522
11Sheffield Utd W22461221:4318
12Portsmouth W22421623:5314
Promotion - WSL 2026/2027 (Main)
Promotion - WSL (Relegation)