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Southend Manor vs Leighton Town Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

FA Cup 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Southend Manor in this FA Cup 2011/2012 tie, finishing 5-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Southend Manor
15%
Draws
0%
Leighton Town
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Southend Manor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Leighton Town have won more games recently than Southend Manor.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Southend Manor taking it.
  • Leighton Town arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Southend Manor, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Southend Manor Clean Sheet 18%
Leighton Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Southend Manor Leighton Town
Matches Played 5 28
Wins 2 8
Draws 0 2
Losses 3 18
Goals Scored 2.6 1.61
Goals Conceded 2.6 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 15, 2011 FA Cup
Southend Manor vs Leighton Town
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Southend Manor 76 / 100
Leighton Town 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Southend Manor Leighton Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Southend Manor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Southend Manor scored in 100% of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Leighton Town has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Leighton Town let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Leighton Town
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Southend Manor

(Home)
16 Aug
Colney Heath
3 : 2
Southend Manor
08 Sept
Leiston
5 : 1
Southend Manor
29 Oct
Kettering
3 : 1
Southend Manor
15 Oct
Southend Manor
5 : 0
Leighton Town
01 Oct
Southend Manor
4 : 2
Chertsey Town

Leighton Town

(Away)
03 Oct
Leighton Town
2 : 4
Peterborough Sports
29 Sept
Hitchin
1 : 0
Leighton Town
26 Sept
Newmarket
2 : 1
Leighton Town
12 Sept
Halesowen
4 : 2
Leighton Town
05 Sept
Leighton Town
1 : 4
Gorleston
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Mansfield -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fleetwood Town -
Weston-super-Mare 1
Dorchester 0
Sholing 1
Havant & Waterlooville 4
Eastleigh 3
Cinderford Town 1
Thame United 1
Oxford City 3
Tamworth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stratford 4
Stafford 2
Quorn 2
King’s Lynn 4
Dover Ath. 3
Carshalton 0
Concord Rangers 3
Wroxham 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bath City -
Alfreton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lincoln City -
Basingstoke 3
Frome Town 0
Bideford 1
Hartley Wintney 2
Worthing FC 0
Beckenham Town 0
Beaconsfield Town 0
Staines 2
Stourbridge 2
Barwell 0
Eastwood 0
Evesham 3
Rushall 2
Buxton 1
Mickleover 1
Barrow Town 4
Eastbourne Borough 3
Walthamstow FC 0
Merstham 0
Sudbury 2
North Greenford Utd. 2
Hythe 1
St. Albans 4
East Thurrock Utd 6
Southport -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stockport County -
Luton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maldon & Tiptree 2
Whitehawk 1
Oxhey Jets 1
Hendon 2
Gateshead -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Radcliffe 3
Clitheroe 1
Runcorn F.C. 0
Hebburn Town 1
Hayes & Yeading -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cambridge Utd -
Kidderminster -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hednesford 1
Carlton Town 0
Histon 2
Corby 4
Redbridge 1
Bury Town 0
Chesham 1
Dunstable Town 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ebbsfleet -
Wrexham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
York City -
Sutton 5
Dulwich Hamlet 1
Maidstone 2
Bognor Regis 3
Billericay 3
Chipstead 0
Biggleswade Town 2
Leatherhead 3
Witton Albion 2
Altrincham 0
Ashton United 0
Spennymoor 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Barrow -
Arlesey 6
Hampton & Richmond 2
VCD Athletic 2
Thurrock 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Forest Green -
Nantwich 2
Northwich Victoria 1
Wakefield 1
Kendal 4
Daventry 2
Leamington 1
Needham Market 0
Nuneaton 3
Totton & Eling 2
Clevedon 1
Hungerford 4
Weymouth 6
Slough Town 3
Boreham Wood 2
Aveley 0
Hanworth Villa 1
Droylsden 2
Workington 1
Colwyn Bay 1
Stocksbridge 3
Whitby 2
North Ferriby United 1
Bedlington 2
Blyth Spartans 1
Stortford 1
Canvey Island 0
Horsham FC 4
Burnham FC 5
Poole Town 4
Cadbury Heath 0
Swindon Supermarine 0
Salisbury 3
Telford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Frickley 3
Harrogate 2
AFC Fylde 3
Gainsborough 4
Dartford 5
Harrow Borough 0
Erith Town 0
Cray Wanderers 5
Margate 6
Thamesmead 1
Welling 1
Bromley 2
Kidsgrove Athletic 2
Boston United 0
Bridgnorth Town 0
Long Buckby 2
Hyde 0
Staveley Miners 3
Warrington Town 1
Bradford PA 3
Chelmsford 3
Tonbridge 0
Hemel Hempstead 0
Lowestoft 3
Truro 3
Bournemouth 2
Whitchurch United 0
Gloucester City 2
Solihull Moors 2
Loughborough Dynamo 0
Chasetown 1
Grantham Town 2
Lancaster 1
United of Manchester 0
Tadcaster Albion 1
Halifax 2
Kettering -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leighton Town 3
Hatfield Town 0
Chertsey Town 2
Southend Manor 4
Grimsby -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Guiseley 2
Stalybridge 1
Vauxhall 3
Ashington 4
Godalming Town 2
Worcester 1
Yate 1
Bodmin Town 1
Woking 7
Wells City 0
Farnborough 3
Maidenhead 4
Darlington FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leek Town 2
Deeping Rangers 0
Matlock 1
Hinckley 3
Newport -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Braintree -
Semi-finals
Mansfield -
TBD -
TBD -
Fleetwood Town -
Weston-super-Mare 3
Havant & Waterlooville 2
Eastleigh 1
Oxford City 3
Tamworth -
TBD -
Stratford 2
King’s Lynn 3
Dover Ath. 3
Wroxham 1
TBD -
Bath City -
Alfreton -
TBD -
TBD -
Lincoln City -
Basingstoke 4
Hartley Wintney 0
Worthing FC 0
Staines 2
Stourbridge 5
Evesham 0
Rushall 3
Barrow Town 0
Eastbourne Borough 1
Sudbury 0
North Greenford Utd. 3
East Thurrock Utd 6
Southport -
TBD -
TBD -
Stockport County -
Luton -
TBD -
Maldon & Tiptree 1
Hendon 3
Gateshead -
TBD -
Radcliffe 2
Hebburn Town 4
Hayes & Yeading -
TBD -
TBD -
Cambridge Utd -
Kidderminster -
TBD -
Hednesford 2
Corby 4
Redbridge 3
Dunstable Town 0
TBD -
Ebbsfleet -
Wrexham -
TBD -
TBD -
York City -
Sutton 4
Bognor Regis 0
Billericay 0
Leatherhead 3
Witton Albion 3
Spennymoor 1
TBD -
Barrow -
Arlesey 4
Thurrock 1
TBD -
Forest Green -
Nantwich 2
Kendal 1
Daventry 1
Nuneaton 2
Totton & Eling 4
Weymouth 2
Slough Town 3
Hanworth Villa 5
Droylsden 4
Stocksbridge 1
Whitby 1
Blyth Spartans 2
Stortford 5
Burnham FC 2
Poole Town 1
Salisbury 6
Telford -
TBD -
Frickley 0
Gainsborough 2
Dartford 2
Cray Wanderers 1
Margate 2
Bromley 3
Kidsgrove Athletic 2
Long Buckby 1
Hyde 0
Bradford PA 1
Chelmsford 5
Lowestoft 2
Truro 2
Gloucester City 7
Solihull Moors 3
Grantham Town 2
Lancaster 0
Halifax 3
Kettering -
TBD -
Leighton Town 0
Southend Manor 5
Grimsby -
TBD -
Guiseley 0
Ashington 1
Godalming Town 6
Bodmin Town 2
Woking 1
Maidenhead 4
Darlington FC -
TBD -
Leek Town 4
Hinckley 5
Newport -
TBD -
TBD -
Braintree -
Final
Mansfield 1
Fleetwood Town 6
Weston-super-Mare 2
Oxford City 3
Tamworth 2
King’s Lynn 1
Dover Ath. 0
Bath City 1
Alfreton 3
Lincoln City 2
Basingstoke 2
Staines 1
Stourbridge 5
Rushall 0
Eastbourne Borough 1
East Thurrock Utd 2
Southport 1
Stockport County 0
Luton 5
Hendon 1
Gateshead 3
Hebburn Town 0
Hayes & Yeading 2
Cambridge Utd 6
Kidderminster 1
Corby 4
Redbridge 2
Ebbsfleet 0
Wrexham 2
York City 1
Sutton 6
Leatherhead 5
Witton Albion 1
Barrow 4
Arlesey 2
Forest Green 1
Nantwich 1
Nuneaton 0
Totton & Eling 3
Hanworth Villa 2
Droylsden 1
Blyth Spartans 2
Stortford 1
Salisbury 2
Telford 5
Gainsborough 0
Dartford 1
Bromley 2
Kidsgrove Athletic 0
Bradford PA 2
Chelmsford 2
Gloucester City 1
Solihull Moors 0
Halifax 1
Kettering 3
Southend Manor 1
Grimsby 5
Ashington 0
Godalming Town 0
Maidenhead 5
Darlington FC 1
Hinckley 4
Newport 4
Braintree 3