Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Southend vs Braintree

England England

National League 2025/2026 Roots Hall, Southend on Sea
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Dallas A.
31'
Scott-Morriss G.
33' Event
Dallas A.
Assist: Austin S.

AI Match Summary

Southend in this National League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Southend.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Southend
33%
Draws
40%
Braintree
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Braintree

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Braintree haven't matched Southend's recent run of results.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Braintree taking it.
  • Regular National League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Southend have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Southend Clean Sheet 15%
Braintree Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Southend Braintree
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 5
Draws 6 7
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 2 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 National League
Southend vs Braintree
3:2
Dec 26, 2025 National League
Braintree vs Southend
0:1
Apr 18, 2025 National League
Southend vs Braintree
0:0
Jan 1, 2025 National League
Braintree vs Southend
0:1
Jul 15, 2017 Club Friendly
Braintree vs Southend
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Southend Compare

Top Goalscorer Dallas A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Coker O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Braintree Compare

Top Goalscorer Battrum R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kamara S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Southend 27 / 100
Braintree 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Southend Braintree

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BRA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Southend scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Braintree conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Braintree lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Southend VS Braintree
2 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Southend

(Home)
25 Jul
Southend
1 : 2
Leyton Orient
22 Jul
Southend
1 : 3
Northampton
18 Jul
Southend
1 : 1
West Ham
14 Jul
Southend
1 : 2
Cambridge Utd
17 May
Southend
1 : 0
Wealdstone
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Braintree

(Away)
28 Jul
Felixstowe & Walton
2 : 1
Braintree
25 Jul
Braintree
4 : 0
Colchester U21
21 Jul
Braintree
1 : 0
Woking
18 Jul
Aveley
3 : 2
Braintree
14 Jul
Welling
3 : 2
Braintree
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1York City463394114:41108
2Rochdale46337688:41106
3Carlisle46298987:5195
4Boreham Wood462791095:5890
5Scunthorpe4623131077:6282
6Southend4623121183:4781
7Forest Green4623121182:5281
8Halifax4620101669:6670
9Hartlepool4618141454:5968
10Woking4616151569:5463
11Tamworth4617111863:7162
12Boston United4615141763:6759
13Altrincham461762355:6557
14Solihull Moors4614141871:7256
15Wealdstone4615112067:7456
16Yeovil461562548:6851
17Eastleigh4613112257:8050
18Gateshead461482454:9050
19Sutton4611142159:7947
20Aldershot461372669:8746
21Brackley4610122440:7542
22Morecambe469112666:10338
23Braintree468122638:7636
24Truro468102842:7234
Promotion - League Two (Main)
Promotion - National League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)