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Southern United W vs Central Football W

New Zealand New Zealand

National League Women 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Urlich-Beech D.
45' Event
Johns-Stewart E.
Own Goal
53' Event
Mackay-Wright H.

AI Match Summary

The National League Women 2024 game between Southern United W and Central Football W finished 8-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Southern United W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Southern United W
6%
Draws
4%
Central Football W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Southern United W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Central Football W haven't matched Southern United W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Southern United W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular National League Women 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Southern United W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Southern United W Clean Sheet 68%
Central Football W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Southern United W Central Football W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 2
Draws 5 1
Losses 11 27
Goals Scored 2 0
Goals Conceded 1 7.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 7.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 8, 2025 National League Women
Southern United W vs Central Football W
7:0
Oct 27, 2024 National League Women
Southern United W vs Central Football W
8:1
Nov 11, 2023 National League Women
Central Football W vs Southern United W
1:4
Nov 26, 2022 National League Women
Central Football W vs Southern United W
2:1
Oct 8, 2022 National League Women
Southern United W vs Central Football W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Southern United W Compare

Top Goalscorer Mackay-Wright H.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Urlich-Beech D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Central Football W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hughes M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Southern United W 95 / 100
Central Football W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Southern United W Central Football W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Central Football W conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 5.40 goals as a typical output.

Central Football W's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Southern United W's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Southern United W VS Central Football W
2 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 7.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Southern United W

(Home)
23 Nov
Southern United W
0 : 7
Western Springs W
15 Nov
Auckland United W
2 : 0
Southern United W
08 Nov
Southern United W
7 : 0
Central Football W
01 Nov
Eastern Suburbs W
2 : 0
Southern United W
25 Oct
Southern United W
4 : 0
Canterbury United W
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Central Football W

(Away)
21 Nov
Canterbury United W
9 : 0
Central Football W
15 Nov
Central Football W
0 : 9
Wellington United W
08 Nov
Southern United W
7 : 0
Central Football W
01 Nov
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
6 : 0
Central Football W
22 Oct
Central Football W
0 : 3
Petone W
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Auckland United W981021:425
2Waterside Karori W953118:818
3Eastern Suburbs W942324:914
4Western Springs W942322:1314
5West Coast Rangers W942320:1514
6Wellington United W934219:1113
7Canterbury United W941417:2013
8Southern United W932417:1211
9Wellington Phoenix 2 W91179:284
10Central Football W90093:500
Promotion - National League Women 2024 (Play Offs)