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Sozopol vs Sliven

World World

Club Friendly 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Yordanov Z.
54' Event
Bogoslav P.
60' Event
Bakalov D.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2024 game between Sozopol and Sliven finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sozopol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Sozopol
15%
Draws
20%
Sliven
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sozopol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sozopol come out ahead of Sliven on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Sozopol's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Sozopol have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Sozopol Clean Sheet 20%
Sliven Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sozopol Sliven
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 16 9
Draws 5 5
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.56 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.09 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2024 Club Friendly
Sozopol vs Sliven
4:2
Mar 13, 2024 Third League - South-East
Sliven vs Sozopol
1:0
Jan 20, 2024 Club Friendly
Sliven vs Sozopol
2:3
Sep 2, 2023 Third League - South-East
Sozopol vs Sliven
7:1
Mar 15, 2014 Third League - South-East
Sliven vs Sozopol
0:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sozopol Compare

Top Goalscorer Bogoslav P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Yordanov Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Sliven Compare

Top Goalscorer Bakalov D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Stoyanov I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sozopol 85 / 100
Sliven 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sozopol Sliven

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sozopol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.40 goals per match.

Sozopol scored in 66% of their last 32 games.

Sliven has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Sozopol stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sozopol VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sozopol

(Home)
18 Sept
Botev II
0 : 0
Sozopol
12 Sept
Sozopol
4 : 2
Neftochimic Burgas
05 Sept
Atletik Kuklen
1 : 0
Sozopol
29 Aug
Sozopol
3 : 1
Dimitrovgrad
22 Aug
Levski Karlovo
1 : 4
Sozopol
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Sliven

(Away)
27 Jan
Beroe
13 : 0
Sliven
25 Jan
Chernomorets 1919
5 : 3
Sliven
17 Jul
Sozopol
4 : 2
Sliven
01 Jun
Sekirovo Rakovski
2 : 0
Sliven
25 May
Sliven
5 : 2
Levski Karlovo
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