Sport Picks
Sp. Luqueno vs Sportivo Ameliano
Paraguay
Copa de Primera Estadio Feliciano Cáceres, Luque 
Match Events
16'
16'
Larralde V.
45'
45'
Sub
Balbuena A. In: Maldonado S.
Out: Balbuena A.
57'
57'
Vera E.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
This match ends 0-1, with Sportivo Ameliano advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
44%
20%
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
71%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Sportivo Ameliano come out ahead of Sp. Luqueno on wins alone.
- 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Sportivo Ameliano arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Sportivo Ameliano, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Sp. Luqueno Clean Sheet 19%
Sportivo Ameliano Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sp. Luqueno | Sportivo Ameliano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 12 |
| Losses | 16 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 5, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Ameliano vs Sp. Luqueno
2:2
Feb 6, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sp. Luqueno vs Sportivo Ameliano
0:1
Nov 2, 2025 Copa de Primera
Sp. Luqueno vs Sportivo Ameliano
0:1
Aug 16, 2025 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Ameliano vs Sp. Luqueno
0:1
Jun 2, 2025 Copa de Primera
Sp. Luqueno vs Sportivo Ameliano
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sp. Luqueno 36 / 100
Sportivo Ameliano 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sp. Luqueno Sportivo Ameliano
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick AME Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sp. Luqueno scored in 69% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: Sportivo Ameliano conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Sp. Luqueno remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Sp. Luqueno VS Sportivo Ameliano
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Sp. Luqueno
(Home) 29 Jul
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 4 Sportivo Trinidense
26 Jul
Guarani
1 : 2 Sp. Luqueno
23 May
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 2 Olimpia Asuncion
17 May
San Lorenzo
0 : 0 Sp. Luqueno
10 May
Sp. Luqueno
2 : 3 Libertad Asuncion
Page 1 of 6
29 Jul
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 4 Sportivo Trinidense
23 May
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 2 Olimpia Asuncion
10 May
Sp. Luqueno
2 : 3 Libertad Asuncion
25 Apr
Sp. Luqueno
2 : 1 Sportivo Trinidense
11 Apr
Sp. Luqueno
2 : 1 Recoleta
Page 1 of 3
Sportivo Ameliano
(Away) 28 Jul
Rubio Nu
1 : 1 Sportivo Ameliano
25 Jul
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 1 Nacional Asuncion
24 May
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 2 Sportivo Trinidense
16 May
Guarani
1 : 0 Sportivo Ameliano
11 May
Sportivo Ameliano
3 : 2 Recoleta
Page 1 of 6
28 Jul
Rubio Nu
1 : 1 Sportivo Ameliano
16 May
Guarani
1 : 0 Sportivo Ameliano
03 May
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 1 Sportivo Ameliano
24 Apr
Cerro Porteno
1 : 1 Sportivo Ameliano
10 Apr
2 de Mayo
1 : 2 Sportivo Ameliano
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 37:17 | 49 |
| 2 | Nacional Asuncion | 22 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 31:22 | 39 |
| 3 | Cerro Porteno | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 30:22 | 38 |
| 4 | Sportivo Ameliano | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 27:21 | 33 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 30:24 | 32 |
| 6 | Libertad Asuncion | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 34:26 | 31 |
| 7 | Guarani | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 27:23 | 29 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 35:32 | 28 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 15:26 | 23 |
| 10 | 2 de Mayo | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 18:35 | 22 |
| 11 | Sp. Luqueno | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 24:33 | 20 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 14:41 | 15 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
