Sport Picks
Sp. Luqueno vs Sportivo Ameliano Prediction & H2H Stats
Paraguay
Copa de Primera Estadio Feliciano Cáceres, Luque 
Match Events
16'
16'
Larralde V.
45'
45'
Sub
Balbuena A. In: Maldonado S.
Out: Balbuena A.
57'
57'
Vera E.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 0-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
20%
46%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sportivo Ameliano
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Sportivo Ameliano come out ahead of Sp. Luqueno on wins alone.
- 46% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Sportivo Ameliano arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Sportivo Ameliano, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Sp. Luqueno Clean Sheet 18%
Sportivo Ameliano Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sp. Luqueno | Sportivo Ameliano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 8 | 9 |
| Draws | 5 | 13 |
| Losses | 15 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.11 | 1.18 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sp. Luqueno vs Sportivo Ameliano
1:2
Apr 5, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Ameliano vs Sp. Luqueno
2:2
Feb 6, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sp. Luqueno vs Sportivo Ameliano
0:1
Nov 2, 2025 Copa de Primera
Sp. Luqueno vs Sportivo Ameliano
0:1
Aug 16, 2025 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Ameliano vs Sp. Luqueno
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sp. Luqueno 32 / 100
Sportivo Ameliano 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sp. Luqueno Sportivo Ameliano
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sportivo Ameliano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sportivo Ameliano let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.
Sp. Luqueno found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Sp. Luqueno remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Sp. Luqueno VS Sportivo Ameliano
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Sp. Luqueno
(Home) 01 Oct
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 2 Sp. Luqueno
25 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
0 : 1 Guarani
20 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 0 Recoleta
13 Sept
Olimpia Asuncion
3 : 0 Sp. Luqueno
06 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 2 Sportivo Ameliano
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
0 : 1 Guarani
20 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 0 Recoleta
06 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 2 Sportivo Ameliano
28 Aug
Sp. Luqueno
2 : 1 Rubio Nu
16 Aug
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 2 Libertad Asuncion
Page 1 of 3
Sportivo Ameliano
(Away) 25 Sept
Nacional Asuncion
1 : 1 Sportivo Ameliano
19 Sept
Libertad Asuncion
1 : 1 Sportivo Ameliano
11 Sept
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 0 San Lorenzo
06 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 2 Sportivo Ameliano
02 Sept
Sportivo Ameliano
0 : 3 Sportivo Trinidense
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Nacional Asuncion
1 : 1 Sportivo Ameliano
19 Sept
Libertad Asuncion
1 : 1 Sportivo Ameliano
06 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 2 Sportivo Ameliano
30 Aug
Guarani
1 : 1 Sportivo Ameliano
16 Aug
Olimpia Asuncion
2 : 1 Sportivo Ameliano
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 37:17 | 49 |
| 2 | Nacional Asuncion | 22 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 31:22 | 39 |
| 3 | Cerro Porteno | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 30:22 | 38 |
| 4 | Sportivo Ameliano | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 27:21 | 33 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 30:24 | 32 |
| 6 | Libertad Asuncion | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 34:26 | 31 |
| 7 | Guarani | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 27:23 | 29 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 35:32 | 28 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 15:26 | 23 |
| 10 | 2 de Mayo | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 18:35 | 22 |
| 11 | Sp. Luqueno | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 24:33 | 20 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 14:41 | 15 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
