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Spain U17 W vs Finland U17 W Prediction & H2H Stats

Europe Europe

Euro U17 Women 2026 Inver Park, Larne
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Aymerich M.
14' Event
Fernandez I.
Assist: Ferrera C.
35'
Sarelius U.

AI Match Summary

The Euro U17 Women 2026 game between Spain U17 W and Finland U17 W finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Spain U17 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Spain U17 W
20%
Draws
29%
Finland U17 W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Spain U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Finland U17 W haven't matched Spain U17 W's recent run of results.
  • Spain U17 W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U17 Women 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Spain U17 W here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Spain U17 W Clean Sheet 20%
Finland U17 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spain U17 W Finland U17 W
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 21 16
Draws 5 4
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 2.61 2.34
Goals Conceded 0.61 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2026 Euro U17 Women
Spain U17 W vs Finland U17 W
4:0
May 6, 2022 Euro U17 Women
Spain U17 W vs Finland U17 W
4:0
May 18, 2018 Euro U17 Women
Spain U17 W vs Finland U17 W
1:0
Mar 24, 2013 Euro U17 Women
Spain U17 W vs Finland U17 W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spain U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Aymerich M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fernandez I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Finland U17 W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spain U17 W 85 / 100
Finland U17 W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spain U17 W Finland U17 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spain U17 W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spain U17 W scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Finland U17 W has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Spain U17 W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Spain U17 W VS Finland U17 W
3.63 Goals Scored 2
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Spain U17 W

(Home)
14 May
Germany U17 W
1 : 0
Spain U17 W
11 May
Poland U17 W
1 : 4
Spain U17 W
08 May
France U17 W
1 : 0
Spain U17 W
05 May
Spain U17 W
4 : 0
Finland U17 W
07 Mar
Portugal U17 W
0 : 0
Spain U17 W
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Finland U17 W

(Away)
13 Sept
Finland U17 W
2 : 1
England U17 W
10 Sept
Finland U17 W
2 : 2
England U17 W
11 May
Finland U17 W
1 : 4
France U17 W
08 May
Finland U17 W
0 : 1
Poland U17 W
05 May
Spain U17 W
4 : 0
Finland U17 W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U17 W 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
2 Norway U17 W 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
3 England U17 W 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
4 Northern Ireland U17 W 3 1 0 2 1:5 3
Promotion - Euro U17 Women 2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Euro U17 Women 2026 (World Cup - Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U17 W 3 3 0 0 10:1 9
2 Spain U17 W 3 2 0 1 8:2 6
3 Poland U17 W 3 1 0 2 2:9 3
4 Finland U17 W 3 0 0 3 1:9 0
Promotion - Euro U17 Women 2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Euro U17 Women 2026 (World Cup - Promotion)