Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Spain U18 vs Italy U18

World World

Friendly International
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Rodriguez P.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International game between Spain U18 and Italy U18 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Spain U18.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Spain U18
20%
Draws
23%
Italy U18
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Spain U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Spain U18 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Spain U18 a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Spain U18 Clean Sheet 20%
Italy U18 Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spain U18 Italy U18
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 17 11
Draws 9 7
Losses 3 10
Goals Scored 1.93 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.11 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2026 Friendly International
Spain U18 vs Italy U18
1:0
Jan 15, 2025 Friendly International
Italy U18 vs Spain U18
0:0
Jan 17, 2024 Friendly International
Spain U18 vs Italy U18
0:0
Jan 18, 2023 Friendly International
Italy U18 vs Spain U18
1:3
Jun 30, 2018 Mediterranean Games
Italy U18 vs Spain U18
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spain U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.56

Italy U18 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spain U18 67 / 100
Italy U18 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spain U18 Italy U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spain U18 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spain U18 scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Italy U18 let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Spain U18 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Spain U18 VS Italy U18
1.6 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
60% Over 1.5 38%
60% Over 2.5 25%
40% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Spain U18

(Home)
14 Jan
Spain U18
1 : 0
Italy U18
14 Oct
Romania U18
2 : 3
Spain U18
11 Oct
Turkey U18
1 : 3
Spain U18
09 Oct
Spain U18
1 : 2
Portugal U18
15 Jan
Italy U18
0 : 0
Spain U18
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Italy U18

(Away)
30 Aug
Italy U18
1 : 4
Morocco U20
28 Aug
Italy U18
1 : 3
Tunisia U21
26 Aug
Kosovo U21
0 : 3
Italy U18
24 Aug
Italy U18
1 : 3
Algeria U21
22 Aug
Italy U18
1 : 1
Albania U21
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