Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Spain U20 W vs Canada U20 W

World World

World Cup Women U20 2024 Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero, Cali
Spain U20 W Logo

Spain U20 W

2 - 1
FT
Canada U20 W Logo

Canada U20 W

Our Tip

Match Events

57'
Sub
Rose N. In: Chukwu A.
Out: Rose N.
57'
Sub
McBride E. In: Johnson A.
Out: McBride E.
63' Event
Jourde F.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Spain U20 W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Spain U20 W
15%
Draws
27%
Canada U20 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spain U20 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Spain U20 W come out ahead of Canada U20 W on wins alone.
  • Spain U20 W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Spain U20 W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Spain U20 W, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Spain U20 W Clean Sheet 18%
Canada U20 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spain U20 W Canada U20 W
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 23 21
Draws 4 3
Losses 2 10
Goals Scored 2.41 3.94
Goals Conceded 0.52 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2024 World Cup Women U20
Spain U20 W vs Canada U20 W
2:1
Nov 13, 2016 World Cup Women U20
Spain U20 W vs Canada U20 W
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spain U20 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Amezaga J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lloris S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.07
Avg xA / game 1.34

Canada U20 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Jourde F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spain U20 W 85 / 100
Canada U20 W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spain U20 W Canada U20 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spain U20 W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Spain U20 W scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Spain U20 W has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Canada U20 W has conceded goals in 62% of their last 34 outings.

Scoring Trends

Spain U20 W VS Canada U20 W
4.13 Goals Scored 2.25
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Spain U20 W

(Home)
23 Sept
Italy U20 W
0 : 2
Spain U20 W
19 Sept
Brazil U20 W
0 : 1
Spain U20 W
16 Sept
Spain U20 W
2 : 0
Portugal U20 W
13 Sept
China U20 W
1 : 3
Spain U20 W
10 Sept
Spain U20 W
11 : 0
New Caledonia U20 W
Page 1 of 6

Canada U20 W

(Away)
20 Sept
North Korea U20 W
2 : 0
Canada U20 W
17 Sept
France U20 W
1 : 3
Canada U20 W
11 Sept
Tanzania U20 W
0 : 6
Canada U20 W
08 Sept
Brazil U20 W
3 : 0
Canada U20 W
05 Sept
Canada U20 W
1 : 1
England U20 W
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Mexico U20 W 2
USA U20 W 3
Germany U20 W 5
Argentina U20 W 1
Brazil U20 W 3
Cameroon U20 W 1
North Korea U20 W 5
Austria U20 W 2
Japan U20 W 2
Nigeria U20 W 1
Spain U20 W 2
Canada U20 W 1
France U20 W 1
Netherlands U20 W 2
Colombia U20 W 1
South Korea U20 W 0
Quarter-finals
USA U20 W 3
Germany U20 W 2
Brazil U20 W 0
North Korea U20 W 1
Japan U20 W 1
Spain U20 W 0
Netherlands U20 W 3
Colombia U20 W 2
Semi-finals
USA U20 W 0
North Korea U20 W 1
Japan U20 W 2
Netherlands U20 W 0
Final
North Korea U20 W 1
Japan U20 W 0
USA U20 W 2
Netherlands U20 W 1