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Spain U21 vs Switzerland U21

Europe Europe

Euro U21 2023 Superbet Arena - Giulesti, Bucharest
Sat, Jul 1, 2023
2 - 1
07:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Imeri K.
34'
Gomez V.
58'
Sub
Rieder F. In: Sohm S.
Out: Rieder F.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Spain U21 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Spain U21
15%
Draws
34%
Switzerland U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spain U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Spain U21 come out ahead of Switzerland U21 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Spain U21's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Spain U21 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Spain U21, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Spain U21 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Spain U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Switzerland U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spain U21 Switzerland U21
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 21 12
Draws 5 6
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 2.3 1.71
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2023 Euro U21
Spain U21 vs Switzerland U21
2:1
Mar 24, 2023 Friendly International
Spain U21 vs Switzerland U21
3:2
Sep 6, 2012 Euro U21
Switzerland U21 vs Spain U21
0:0
Nov 14, 2011 Euro U21
Spain U21 vs Switzerland U21
3:0
Jun 25, 2011 Euro U21
Switzerland U21 vs Spain U21
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spain U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomez S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Miranda J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Switzerland U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Amdouni Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spain U21 85 / 100
Switzerland U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spain U21 Switzerland U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spain U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spain U21 found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Spain U21 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Switzerland U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Spain U21 VS Switzerland U21
3.75 Goals Scored 1.5
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Spain U21

(Home)
31 Mar
Spain U21
2 : 0
Kosovo U21
27 Mar
Cyprus U21
0 : 7
Spain U21
18 Nov
Romania U21
0 : 2
Spain U21
14 Nov
Spain U21
7 : 0
San Marino U21
14 Oct
Spain U21
2 : 1
Finland U21
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Switzerland U21

(Away)
31 Mar
Switzerland U21
2 : 1
Estonia U21
27 Mar
Switzerland U21
1 : 0
Faroe Islands U21
18 Nov
Luxembourg U21
2 : 1
Switzerland U21
14 Nov
Switzerland U21
1 : 1
France U21
14 Oct
Faroe Islands U21
1 : 3
Switzerland U21
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Georgia U21 0
Israel U21 1
England U21 1
Portugal U21 0
Spain U21 2
Switzerland U21 1
France U21 1
Ukraine U21 3
Semi-finals
Israel U21 0
England U21 3
Spain U21 5
Ukraine U21 1
Final
England U21 1
Spain U21 0