Sport Picks

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Spakenburg vs Jong Sparta Rotterdam

Netherlands Netherlands

Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 Sportpark De Westmaat, Spakenburg
Our Tip

Match Events

37'
van Huffel S.
44'
el Meftahi Y.
64'
Sub
Esser J. In: Mulumba G.
Out: Esser J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Spakenburg
6%
Draws
4%
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Spakenburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Spakenburg lately — more wins on the board than Jong Sparta Rotterdam.
  • Win probability leans Spakenburg's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.2%
Spakenburg Clean Sheet 12%
Jong Sparta Rotterdam Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spakenburg Jong Sparta Rotterdam
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 15 8
Draws 7 9
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.5 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Spakenburg vs Jong Sparta Rotterdam
1:1
Jan 17, 2026 Tweede Divisie
Spakenburg vs Jong Sparta Rotterdam
1:1
Aug 23, 2025 Tweede Divisie
Jong Sparta Rotterdam vs Spakenburg
4:4
Jul 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Spakenburg vs Jong Sparta Rotterdam
0:0
Apr 5, 2025 Tweede Divisie
Spakenburg vs Jong Sparta Rotterdam
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spakenburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Kok O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Jong Sparta Rotterdam Compare

Top Goalscorer Hoeve Q.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spakenburg 83 / 100
Jong Sparta Rotterdam 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spakenburg Jong Sparta Rotterdam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spakenburg found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (31 games).

Jong Sparta Rotterdam let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Spakenburg has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Spakenburg VS Jong Sparta Rotterdam
1.5 Goals Scored 2.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Spakenburg

(Home)
18 Jul
Spakenburg
1 : 1
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
23 May
Koninklijke HFC
3 : 2
Spakenburg
16 May
Spakenburg
2 : 1
Katwijk
09 May
De Treffers
0 : 0
Spakenburg
25 Apr
Spakenburg
3 : 2
Rijnsburgse Boys
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Jong Sparta Rotterdam

(Away)
25 Jul
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
2 : 3
Jong AZ Alkmaar
18 Jul
Spakenburg
1 : 1
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
11 Jul
Katwijk
1 : 1
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
10 Jun
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
3 : 2
Groningen U21
06 Jun
Groningen U21
1 : 1
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Quick Boys341910569:3566
2De Treffers34189764:3763
3HSV Hoek34196960:3763
4Rijnsburgse Boys341681076:5556
5Hardenberg341751258:4456
6Spakenburg341681072:6056
7Katwijk341571260:5552
8Jong Almere City341551470:6250
9Kozakken Boys341381347:5547
10Jong Sparta Rotterdam341291371:7345
11AFC341291346:5445
12Barendrecht341341762:8443
13RKAV Volendam341331850:6242
14GVVV341261652:6742
15Koninklijke HFC341231933:4939
16IJsselmeervogels34942146:6531
17Excelsior Maassluis34871939:5831
18ACV Assen34791848:7130
Relegation - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)