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Spansko vs Vrapce

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL Center 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Spansko in this 3. HNL Center 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Spansko.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Spansko
30%
Draws
51%
Vrapce
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vrapce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Spansko haven't matched Vrapce's recent run of results.
  • Vrapce are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular 3. HNL Center 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Spansko have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Spansko Clean Sheet 20%
Vrapce Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spansko Vrapce
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 9
Draws 6 9
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.27 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2021 3. HNL Center
Spansko vs Vrapce
2:1
Aug 22, 2020 3. HNL Center
Vrapce vs Spansko
1:2
Jan 20, 2018 Club Friendly
Spansko vs Vrapce
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spansko 12 / 100
Vrapce 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spansko Vrapce

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vrapce Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vrapce has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Spansko found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Spansko remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Spansko VS Vrapce
0 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Spansko

(Home)
27 Aug
Spansko
0 : 1
Gaj Mace
12 Jun
Trnje
0 : 2
Spansko
05 Jun
Spansko
2 : 2
Karlovac
29 May
Kurilovec
3 : 0
Spansko
26 May
Spansko
0 : 1
Dugo Selo
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Vrapce

(Away)
29 Jul
Dubrava Zagreb
1 : 2
Vrapce
28 May
Vrapce
2 : 2
Maksimir
21 May
Mladost Petrinja
0 : 7
Vrapce
18 May
Vrapce
2 : 1
Lucko
14 May
Lukavec
1 : 1
Vrapce
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