Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sparta Kazimierza Wielka vs Cracovia II

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Skiba J.
25' Event
Mustafaev R.
27' Event
Mustafaev R.

AI Match Summary

Cracovia II in this III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cracovia II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
11%
Draws
80%
Cracovia II
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Cracovia II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cracovia II lately — more wins on the board than Sparta Kazimierza Wielka.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Cracovia II taking it.
  • Regular III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Cracovia II have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka Clean Sheet 10%
Cracovia II Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sparta Kazimierza Wielka Cracovia II
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 2 6
Draws 1 6
Losses 27 17
Goals Scored 0.5 1.25
Goals Conceded 4.13 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.13 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka vs Cracovia II
1:3
Oct 10, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Cracovia II vs Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
1:0
Mar 20, 2016 III Liga - Group VII
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka vs Cracovia II
0:1
Aug 15, 2015 III Liga - Group VII
Cracovia II vs Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sparta Kazimierza Wielka Compare

Top Goalscorer Skiba J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Cracovia II Compare

Top Goalscorer Mustafaev R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Skoczylas M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sparta Kazimierza Wielka 10 / 100
Cracovia II 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka Cracovia II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CRA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cracovia II let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Cracovia II registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Sparta Kazimierza Wielka's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Sparta Kazimierza Wielka VS Cracovia II
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
4.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sparta Kazimierza Wielka

(Home)
30 May
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
2 : 0
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
24 May
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
3 : 1
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
16 May
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
4 : 0
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
13 May
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
0 : 5
Biala Podlaska
08 May
Wisloka Debica
3 : 0
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
Page 1 of 6

Cracovia II

(Away)
18 Jul
Cracovia II
1 : 3
Z. Moravce-Vrable
30 May
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
5 : 6
Cracovia II
23 May
Cracovia II
1 : 2
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
17 May
Cracovia II
3 : 3
Chelmianka Chelm
13 May
Wisla II
3 : 1
Cracovia II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Avia Swidnik34238384:3577
2Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski34228466:3074
3Chelmianka Chelm34219465:3172
4Korona Kielce II341841266:5958
5Star Starachowice341510951:4355
6Czarni Polaniec341651359:4953
7Biala Podlaska3414101060:4852
8Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow341491161:4551
9Wislanie Skawina341561352:5151
10Wisla II341541567:5849
11Wisloka Debica3412121037:3548
12Siarka Tarnobrzeg3411101359:5243
13Naprzod Jedrzejow341151845:5538
14Kolbuszowa Dolna341141936:5437
15Stal Krasnik34971842:5234
16Cracovia II34961944:7133
17Swidniczanka Swidnik34542535:8019
18Sparta Kazimierza Wielka34412929:11013
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)