Sport Picks
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka vs Czarni Polaniec
Poland
III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 
Match Events
14'
14'
Paszczela B.
33'
33'
Paszczela B.
38'
38'
Skiba J.
AI Match Summary
The III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 game between Sparta Kazimierza Wielka and Czarni Polaniec finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Czarni Polaniec.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Czarni Polaniec
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Sparta Kazimierza Wielka haven't matched Czarni Polaniec's recent run of results.
- Model gives Czarni Polaniec a 90% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Czarni Polaniec here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 48%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka Clean Sheet 10%
Czarni Polaniec Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sparta Kazimierza Wielka | Czarni Polaniec |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 2 | 16 |
| Draws | 1 | 6 |
| Losses | 27 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.71 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.14 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.71 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 3.14 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 4, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka vs Czarni Polaniec
1:5
Sep 13, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Czarni Polaniec vs Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
5:2
Jun 4, 2016 III Liga - Group VII
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka vs Czarni Polaniec
2:3
Nov 14, 2015 III Liga - Group VII
Czarni Polaniec vs Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka Compare
Top Goalscorer Skiba J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.35
Czarni Polaniec Compare
Top Goalscorer Paszczela B.
2 Goals Assists Leader Dzikowski S.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka 10 / 100
Czarni Polaniec 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka Czarni Polaniec
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CZA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.
Czarni Polaniec let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.
Czarni Polaniec's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (30 games).
Scoring Trends
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka VS Czarni Polaniec
0.71 Goals Scored 1.75
3.14 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
86% Over 2.5 63%
71% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
(Home) 30 May
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
2 : 0 Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
24 May
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
3 : 1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
16 May
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
4 : 0 Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
13 May
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
0 : 5 Biala Podlaska
08 May
Wisloka Debica
3 : 0 Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
Page 1 of 6
24 May
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
3 : 1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
13 May
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
0 : 5 Biala Podlaska
02 May
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
1 : 3 Cracovia II
19 Apr
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
0 : 2 Chelmianka Chelm
04 Apr
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
1 : 5 Czarni Polaniec
Page 1 of 3
Czarni Polaniec
(Away) 24 Jul
Kolbuszowa Dolna
2 : 1 Czarni Polaniec
15 Jul
Czarni Polaniec
1 : 4 Jaroslaw
11 Jul
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
1 : 1 Czarni Polaniec
04 Jul
Czarni Polaniec
2 : 0 Star Starachowice
30 May
Czarni Polaniec
2 : 3 Avia Swidnik
Page 1 of 6
24 Jul
Kolbuszowa Dolna
2 : 1 Czarni Polaniec
11 Jul
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
1 : 1 Czarni Polaniec
22 May
Korona Kielce II
2 : 1 Czarni Polaniec
13 May
Kolbuszowa Dolna
2 : 1 Czarni Polaniec
01 May
Swidniczanka Swidnik
1 : 4 Czarni Polaniec
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Avia Swidnik | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 84:35 | 77 |
| 2 | Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 66:30 | 74 |
| 3 | Chelmianka Chelm | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 65:31 | 72 |
| 4 | Korona Kielce II | 34 | 18 | 4 | 12 | 66:59 | 58 |
| 5 | Star Starachowice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 51:43 | 55 |
| 6 | Czarni Polaniec | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 59:49 | 53 |
| 7 | Biala Podlaska | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 60:48 | 52 |
| 8 | Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 61:45 | 51 |
| 9 | Wislanie Skawina | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 52:51 | 51 |
| 10 | Wisla II | 34 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 67:58 | 49 |
| 11 | Wisloka Debica | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 37:35 | 48 |
| 12 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 59:52 | 43 |
| 13 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 45:55 | 38 |
| 14 | Kolbuszowa Dolna | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 36:54 | 37 |
| 15 | Stal Krasnik | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42:52 | 34 |
| 16 | Cracovia II | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 44:71 | 33 |
| 17 | Swidniczanka Swidnik | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 35:80 | 19 |
| 18 | Sparta Kazimierza Wielka | 34 | 4 | 1 | 29 | 29:110 | 13 |
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
