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Sparta-KT vs MAK

Europe Europe

Premier League (Crimea)
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Harutyunyan H.
47' Event
Bekmukhanov A.
51' Event
Bekmukhanov A.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League (Crimea) game between Sparta-KT and MAK finished 1-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward MAK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Sparta-KT
20%
Draws
73%
MAK
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: MAK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sparta-KT come out ahead of MAK on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans MAK's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors MAK here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Sparta-KT Clean Sheet 20%
MAK Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sparta-KT MAK
Matches Played 31 15
Wins 11 8
Draws 5 4
Losses 15 3
Goals Scored 1.55 2.47
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
Sparta-KT vs MAK
1:6
May 30, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
Sparta-KT vs MAK
2:5
Apr 11, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
MAK vs Sparta-KT
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sparta-KT Compare

Top Goalscorer Ablaev M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

MAK Compare

Top Goalscorer Bekmukhanov A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Saranchukov V.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sparta-KT 10 / 100
MAK 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sparta-KT MAK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: MAK conceded in 80% of 15 recent games.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Sparta-KT's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Solid form: Sparta-KT remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sparta-KT VS MAK
1.13 Goals Scored 3.13
3.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sparta-KT

(Home)
09 Sept
Sparta-KT
1 : 6
MAK
30 Aug
Zarechnoye
6 : 1
Sparta-KT
27 Jun
GFK Yalta
9 : 0
Sparta-KT
20 Jun
Sparta-KT
0 : 0
Ocean Kerch
14 Jun
Sparta-KT
1 : 2
TSK Simferopol
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MAK

(Away)
09 Sept
Sparta-KT
1 : 6
MAK
05 Sept
MAK
1 : 1
Zarechnoye
30 Aug
GFK Yalta
2 : 1
MAK
27 Jun
MAK
3 : 0
Ocean Kerch
20 Jun
TSK Simferopol
2 : 3
MAK
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