Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sparta Rotterdam vs Utrecht

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel, Rotterdam
Sat, Aug 22, 2026
VS
04:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sparta Rotterdam host Utrecht in the Eredivisie. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Sparta Rotterdam at 2.63 goals for, 1.88 against; Utrecht at 1.5 for, 1.38 against. Past meetings favor Sparta Rotterdam slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 25, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (2.00 xG vs 1.69) point toward Sparta Rotterdam. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Sparta Rotterdam
22%
Draws
18%
Utrecht
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Sparta Rotterdam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Utrecht lately — more wins on the board than Sparta Rotterdam.
  • Sparta Rotterdam are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Sparta Rotterdam Clean Sheet 13%
Utrecht Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sparta Rotterdam Utrecht
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 12 13
Draws 7 3
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 2.63 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Eredivisie
Utrecht vs Sparta Rotterdam
0:1
Aug 17, 2025 Eredivisie
Sparta Rotterdam vs Utrecht
2:1
May 14, 2025 Eredivisie
Utrecht vs Sparta Rotterdam
1:1
Nov 3, 2024 Eredivisie
Sparta Rotterdam vs Utrecht
1:4
May 23, 2024 Eredivisie
Utrecht vs Sparta Rotterdam
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sparta Rotterdam 57 / 100
Utrecht 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sparta Rotterdam Utrecht

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sparta Rotterdam's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Utrecht's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Sparta Rotterdam has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sparta Rotterdam VS Utrecht
2.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
88% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sparta Rotterdam

(Home)
28 Jul
Sparta Rotterdam
1 : 1
Asteras Tripolis
25 Jul
Waregem
3 : 2
Sparta Rotterdam
18 Jul
Meppen
3 : 2
Sparta Rotterdam
11 Jul
Sparta Rotterdam
1 : 0
Telstar
07 Jul
VOC
0 : 4
Sparta Rotterdam
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Utrecht

(Away)
24 Jul
Cambuur
0 : 1
Utrecht
24 Jul
Cambuur
1 : 0
Utrecht
17 Jul
Utrecht
3 : 2
V-Varen Nagasaki
07 Jul
Utrecht
0 : 1
Apollon Limassol
27 Jun
Utrecht
1 : 2
De Graafschap
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cambuur00000:00
2Sittard00000:00
3Telstar00000:00
4Zwolle00000:00
5PSV00000:00
6Ajax00000:00
7Twente00000:00
8Heerenveen00000:00
9Feyenoord00000:00
10Nijmegen00000:00
11Utrecht00000:00
12AZ Alkmaar00000:00
13Sparta Rotterdam00000:00
14Willem II00000:00
15Excelsior00000:00
16Den Haag00000:00
17G.A. Eagles00000:00
18Groningen00000:00
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)