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Spartak D'Aguadinha vs Academico 83

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2015
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional 2015 game between Spartak D'Aguadinha and Academico 83 finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Academico 83.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Spartak D'Aguadinha
30%
Draws
34%
Academico 83
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Spartak D'Aguadinha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Academico 83 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Spartak D'Aguadinha a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional 2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Spartak D'Aguadinha Clean Sheet 20%
Academico 83 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartak D'Aguadinha Academico 83
Matches Played 5 31
Wins 1 6
Draws 0 8
Losses 4 17
Goals Scored 1 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.80 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2015 Campeonato Nacional
Spartak D'Aguadinha vs Academico 83
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartak D'Aguadinha 36 / 100
Academico 83 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartak D'Aguadinha Academico 83

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Spartak D'Aguadinha scored in 80% of their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Academico 83 conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Academico 83 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Spartak D'Aguadinha VS Academico 83
1 Goals Scored 0.63
1.8 Goals Conceded 1.75
80% Over 1.5 75%
60% Over 2.5 50%
20% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Spartak D'Aguadinha

(Home)
07 Jun
Spartak D'Aguadinha
0 : 1
Paulense
30 May
Academica Porto Novo
2 : 1
Spartak D'Aguadinha
23 May
Spartak D'Aguadinha
1 : 2
Academico 83
17 May
Academica Boavista
0 : 2
Spartak D'Aguadinha
09 May
Spartak D'Aguadinha
1 : 4
FC Derby

Academico 83

(Away)
12 May
Academico 83
2 : 4
Ultramarina
04 May
Sporting da Brava
3 : 2
Academico 83
27 Apr
Academico 83
1 : 1
Santo Crucifixo
20 Apr
Santo Crucifixo
0 : 0
Academico 83
13 Apr
Ultramarina
3 : 1
Academico 83
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League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Derby550012:215
2Paulense53116:310
3Academica Porto Novo52125:57
4Academico 8352035:96
5Spartak D'Aguadinha51045:93
6Academica Boavista50232:72
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2015 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2015 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mindelense550014:115
2Boavista540114:412
3Academico do Sal530212:99
4Ultramarina520312:166
5Sporting da Brava50145:161
6Beira-Mar do Tarrafal50143:141
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2015 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2015 (Play Offs)