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Spartak D'Aguadinha vs FC Derby

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2015
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional 2015 game between Spartak D'Aguadinha and FC Derby finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Derby.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Spartak D'Aguadinha
28%
Draws
50%
FC Derby
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: FC Derby

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Derby come out ahead of Spartak D'Aguadinha on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans FC Derby's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional 2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Spartak D'Aguadinha Clean Sheet 19%
FC Derby Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartak D'Aguadinha FC Derby
Matches Played 5 30
Wins 1 15
Draws 0 7
Losses 4 8
Goals Scored 0 1.5
Goals Conceded 0 1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2015 Campeonato Nacional
Spartak D'Aguadinha vs FC Derby
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartak D'Aguadinha 24 / 100
FC Derby 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartak D'Aguadinha FC Derby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spartak D'Aguadinha's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 5 recent games.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

FC Derby's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Spartak D'Aguadinha remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS FC Derby
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Spartak D'Aguadinha

(Home)
07 Jun
Spartak D'Aguadinha
0 : 1
Paulense
30 May
Academica Porto Novo
2 : 1
Spartak D'Aguadinha
23 May
Spartak D'Aguadinha
1 : 2
Academico 83
17 May
Academica Boavista
0 : 2
Spartak D'Aguadinha
09 May
Spartak D'Aguadinha
1 : 4
FC Derby

FC Derby

(Away)
13 Jul
Boavista da Praia
2 : 1
FC Derby
29 Jun
FC Derby
4 : 1
Academico do Sal
22 Jun
Academico do Sal
1 : 0
FC Derby
15 Jun
FC Derby
0 : 0
Boavista da Praia
09 Jun
Ultramarina
1 : 2
FC Derby
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League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Derby550012:215
2Paulense53116:310
3Academica Porto Novo52125:57
4Academico 8352035:96
5Spartak D'Aguadinha51045:93
6Academica Boavista50232:72
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2015 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2015 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mindelense550014:115
2Boavista540114:412
3Academico do Sal530212:99
4Ultramarina520312:166
5Sporting da Brava50145:161
6Beira-Mar do Tarrafal50143:141
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2015 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2015 (Play Offs)