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Spartak Moscow 2 vs Cherepovets

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Spartak Moscow 2 play Cherepovets in the FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2. It looks like a close match. Recently, Spartak Moscow 2 averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Cherepovets averaged 1.65 goals scored and 1.29 conceded. In past meetings, Spartak Moscow 2 won 1, Cherepovets won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 19, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Spartak Moscow 2 and 1.44 for Cherepovets. This points to a Cherepovets double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Spartak Moscow 2
15%
Draws
51%
Cherepovets
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cherepovets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Spartak Moscow 2 picked up more points recently compared to Cherepovets.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Spartak Moscow 2 Clean Sheet 16%
Cherepovets Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 66%
Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartak Moscow 2 Cherepovets
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 15
Draws 5 4
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 0.9 1.65
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Spartak Moscow 2 vs Cherepovets
0:1
Jul 27, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Cherepovets vs Spartak Moscow 2
4:0
Apr 6, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Spartak Moscow 2 vs Cherepovets
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spartak Moscow 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Cherepovets Compare

Top Goalscorer Belyaev M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartak Moscow 2 34 / 100
Cherepovets 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartak Moscow 2 Cherepovets

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Cherepovets or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +30.9%
3.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.9%
2.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Spartak Moscow 2 attacking → ← attacking Cherepovets

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spartak Moscow 2 scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Cherepovets let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Spartak Moscow 2 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Cherepovets lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

29 Points in last 5 49
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63