Sport Picks
Spartak Moscow vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod
Russia
Russian Cup 2025/2026 Lukoil Arena, Moscow 
Match Events
10'
10'
Samoshnikov I.
12'
12'
Zobnin R.
36'
36'
Samoshnikov I.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 4-0, with Spartak Moscow advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
13%
17%
70%
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Pari Nizhny Novgorod
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
88%
/ Very High Confidence
- Spartak Moscow carry the better recent record into this one.
- 70% — that's where the model lands on Pari Nizhny Novgorod taking it.
- Spartak Moscow have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Spartak Moscow, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Spartak Moscow here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Spartak Moscow Clean Sheet 14%
Pari Nizhny Novgorod Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Spartak Moscow | Pari Nizhny Novgorod |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 25 |
| Wins | 18 | 10 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 6 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 2.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 2.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 26, 2026 Premier League
Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Spartak Moscow
1:2
Oct 1, 2025 Russian Cup
Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Spartak Moscow
1:2
Sep 28, 2025 Premier League
Spartak Moscow vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod
3:0
Aug 26, 2025 Russian Cup
Spartak Moscow vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod
4:0
Dec 7, 2024 Premier League
Spartak Moscow vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Spartak Moscow Compare
Top Goalscorer Zobnin R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Samoshnikov I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Pari Nizhny Novgorod Compare
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Spartak Moscow 15 / 100
Pari Nizhny Novgorod 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Spartak Moscow Pari Nizhny Novgorod
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick PNN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Spartak Moscow found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).
Pari Nizhny Novgorod has conceded goals in 88% of their last 25 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Spartak Moscow has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Spartak Moscow VS Pari Nizhny Novgorod
1.25 Goals Scored 2.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Spartak Moscow
(Home) 25 Jul
Spartak Moscow
3 : 0 Rodina Moscow
18 Jul
Zenit St Petersburg
2 : 1 Spartak Moscow
11 Jul
Lokomotiv Moscow
2 : 0 Spartak Moscow
08 Jul
Spartak Moscow
0 : 0 Rubin Kazan
04 Jul
Spartak Moscow
3 : 2 Krylya Sovetov Samara
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25 Jul
Spartak Moscow
3 : 0 Rodina Moscow
08 Jul
Spartak Moscow
0 : 0 Rubin Kazan
04 Jul
Spartak Moscow
3 : 2 Krylya Sovetov Samara
02 Jul
Spartak Moscow
1 : 0 S. Kostroma
24 May
Spartak Moscow
2 : 1 Krasnodar
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Pari Nizhny Novgorod
(Away) 25 Jul
Chelyabinsk
1 : 2 Pari Nizhny Novgorod
19 Jul
Kamaz
1 : 2 Pari Nizhny Novgorod
12 Jul
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
4 : 2 R. Volgograd
04 Jul
Dynamo Moscow
2 : 1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod
29 Jun
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
6 : 1 Tekstilshtik
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25 Jul
Chelyabinsk
1 : 2 Pari Nizhny Novgorod
19 Jul
Kamaz
1 : 2 Pari Nizhny Novgorod
04 Jul
Dynamo Moscow
2 : 1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod
17 May
Rubin Kazan
2 : 2 Pari Nizhny Novgorod
03 May
Akhmat Grozny
2 : 0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zenit St Petersburg | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 19:5 | 18 |
| 2 | Orenburg | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6:14 | 8 |
| 3 | Rubin Kazan | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:9 | 6 |
| 4 | Akhmat Grozny | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8:10 | 4 |
Promotion - Russian Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup 2025/2026 (Regions Path - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krasnodar | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 14:5 | 14 |
| 2 | Dynamo Moscow | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11:6 | 11 |
| 3 | Krylya Sovetov Samara | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:11 | 8 |
| 4 | PFC Sochi | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8:18 | 3 |
Promotion - Russian Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup 2025/2026 (Regions Path - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spartak Moscow | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13:5 | 13 |
| 2 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 9:7 | 13 |
| 3 | FK Rostov | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:9 | 7 |
| 4 | Pari Nizhny Novgorod | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:13 | 3 |
Promotion - Russian Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup 2025/2026 (Regions Path - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CSKA Moscow | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9:5 | 13 |
| 2 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10:4 | 13 |
| 3 | Baltika | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6:9 | 5 |
| 4 | Akron Togliatti | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6:13 | 5 |
Promotion - Russian Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup 2025/2026 (Regions Path - Play Offs)
