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Pelister

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Spartak Subotica play Pelister in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Spartak Subotica averaged 1.03 goals scored and 2.1 conceded. Pelister averaged 1.31 goals scored and 1.14 conceded. In past meetings, Spartak Subotica won 1, Pelister won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 20, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.76 for Spartak Subotica and 2.19 for Pelister. This points to a Pelister double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%

Spartak Subotica

30%

Draws

46%

Pelister

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pelister

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence

Spartak Subotica picked up more points recently compared to Pelister.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.76 vs 2.19 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%

Over 1.5 Goals 73%

Over 2.5 Goals 57%

Over 3.5 Goals 34%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%

Spartak Subotica Clean Sheet 10%

Pelister Clean Sheet 19%

First Half Goal 66%

Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Spartak Subotica	Pelister
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	2	8
Draws	7	10
Losses	20	11
Goals Scored	1.03	1.31
Goals Conceded	2.1	1.14
Expected Goals (xG)	0.63	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.50	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 20, 2026 Club Friendly

Spartak Subotica vs Pelister

Possession: 50% - 49% Cards: 3 - 1

2:2

Jan 28, 2015 Club Friendly

Pelister vs Spartak Subotica

Possession: 47% - 53% Cards: 1 - 3

0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartak Subotica 24 / 100

Pelister 45 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Spartak Subotica Pelister

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Pelister or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +50%

6.25

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.7%

1.96

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Spartak Subotica attacking → ← attacking Pelister

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spartak Subotica scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Pelister let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Spartak Subotica went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Pelister lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

13 Points in last 5 34

0.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.88

2.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88