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Spartak Varna vs CSKA 1948 Sofia

Bulgaria Bulgaria

efbet League Stadion Spartak
Fri, Jul 17, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Spartak Varna host CSKA 1948 Sofia in the efbet League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Spartak Varna at 1.13 goals for, 0.63 against; CSKA 1948 Sofia at 1.5 for, 0.88 against. Past meetings favor CSKA 1948 Sofia slightly — 0-1-4 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 14, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.00 - 1.06) back CSKA 1948 Sofia to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Spartak Varna
39%
Draws
30%
CSKA 1948 Sofia
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CSKA 1948 Sofia come out ahead of Spartak Varna on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Spartak Varna Clean Sheet 22%
CSKA 1948 Sofia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartak Varna CSKA 1948 Sofia
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 8 14
Draws 7 5
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.13 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 efbet League
Spartak Varna vs CSKA 1948 Sofia
1:2
Oct 4, 2025 efbet League
CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Spartak Varna
1:1
Nov 29, 2024 efbet League
Spartak Varna vs CSKA 1948 Sofia
1:1
Jul 28, 2024 efbet League
CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Spartak Varna
2:2
May 3, 2023 efbet League
Spartak Varna vs CSKA 1948 Sofia
3:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartak Varna 32 / 100
CSKA 1948 Sofia 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartak Varna CSKA 1948 Sofia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Spartak Varna scored in 63% of their last 27 outings.

CSKA 1948 Sofia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Spartak Varna stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Spartak Varna VS CSKA 1948 Sofia
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Botev Plovdiv00000:00
2Cherno More00000:00
3CSKA Sofia00000:00
4Lok. Plovdiv00000:00
5Levski Sofia00000:00
6Lok. Sofia00000:00
7Slavia Sofia00000:00
8Spartak Varna00000:00
9Dunav Ruse00000:00
10Botev Vratsa00000:00
11Ludogorets00000:00
12Arda00000:00
13Septemvri Sofia00000:00
14CSKA 1948 Sofia00000:00