Sport Picks
Spartak Varna vs CSKA 1948 Sofia
Bulgaria
efbet League Stadion Spartak, Varna 
Match Events
13'
13'
Stojanovski G.
19'
19'
Boychev M.
44'
44'
Tshitoku J.
Assist: Stojanovski G.
AI Match Summary
The efbet League game between Spartak Varna and CSKA 1948 Sofia finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
18%
30%
52%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CSKA 1948 Sofia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and CSKA 1948 Sofia come out ahead of Spartak Varna on wins alone.
- 52% — that's where the model lands on CSKA 1948 Sofia taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Spartak Varna Clean Sheet 14%
CSKA 1948 Sofia Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Spartak Varna | CSKA 1948 Sofia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 17 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.57 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 17, 2026 efbet League
Spartak Varna vs CSKA 1948 Sofia
2:2
Mar 14, 2026 efbet League
Spartak Varna vs CSKA 1948 Sofia
1:2
Oct 4, 2025 efbet League
CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Spartak Varna
1:1
Nov 29, 2024 efbet League
Spartak Varna vs CSKA 1948 Sofia
1:1
Jul 28, 2024 efbet League
CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Spartak Varna
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Spartak Varna Compare
Top Goalscorer Stojanovski G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Tshitoku J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
CSKA 1948 Sofia Compare
Top Goalscorer Maciel F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Spartak Varna 10 / 100
CSKA 1948 Sofia 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Spartak Varna CSKA 1948 Sofia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CSKA 1948 Sofia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:7
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Spartak Varna scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.
CSKA 1948 Sofia has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Spartak Varna stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Spartak Varna VS CSKA 1948 Sofia
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Spartak Varna
(Home) 13 Sept
Slavia Sofia
0 : 0 Spartak Varna
05 Sept
Spartak Varna
1 : 1 CSKA Sofia
30 Aug
Spartak Varna
1 : 1 Ludogorets
22 Aug
Levski Sofia
6 : 0 Spartak Varna
17 Aug
Spartak Varna
0 : 1 Septemvri Sofia
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Spartak Varna
1 : 1 CSKA Sofia
30 Aug
Spartak Varna
1 : 1 Ludogorets
17 Aug
Spartak Varna
0 : 1 Septemvri Sofia
03 Aug
Spartak Varna
1 : 0 Lok. Plovdiv
17 Jul
Spartak Varna
2 : 2 CSKA 1948 Sofia
Page 1 of 4
CSKA 1948 Sofia
(Away) 18 Sept
Slavia Sofia
1 : 2 CSKA 1948 Sofia
12 Sept
CSKA 1948 Sofia
2 : 1 Dunav Ruse
05 Sept
Levski Sofia
1 : 0 CSKA 1948 Sofia
28 Aug
CSKA 1948 Sofia
2 : 0 Lok. Plovdiv
23 Aug
Septemvri Sofia
1 : 0 CSKA 1948 Sofia
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Slavia Sofia
1 : 2 CSKA 1948 Sofia
05 Sept
Levski Sofia
1 : 0 CSKA 1948 Sofia
23 Aug
Septemvri Sofia
1 : 0 CSKA 1948 Sofia
08 Aug
Lok. Sofia
1 : 3 CSKA 1948 Sofia
05 Aug
Panathinaikos
1 : 1 CSKA 1948 Sofia
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levski Sofia | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 21:4 | 25 |
| 2 | CSKA Sofia | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 23:6 | 23 |
| 3 | Ludogorets | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 16:7 | 23 |
| 4 | CSKA 1948 Sofia | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 19:10 | 22 |
| 5 | Arda | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15:12 | 17 |
| 6 | Botev Plovdiv | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 16:14 | 16 |
| 7 | Slavia Sofia | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 8 | Spartak Varna | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10:14 | 10 |
| 9 | Botev Vratsa | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9:19 | 9 |
| 10 | Septemvri Sofia | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8:18 | 8 |
| 11 | Lok. Plovdiv | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4:12 | 6 |
| 12 | Cherno More | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11:20 | 6 |
| 13 | Dunav Ruse | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10:19 | 5 |
| 14 | Lok. Sofia | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 10:18 | 4 |
Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group)
Promotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - efbet League (Relegation Group)
