Sport Picks

Latvia

Virslīga 2014

Spartaks Jurmala

4 - 1

FC Jurmala

Our Tip

Match Events

Montalvo B.

42'

Punculs E.

45'

Punculs E.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Spartaks Jurmala in this Virslīga 2014 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Spartaks Jurmala.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Spartaks Jurmala

Draws

FC Jurmala

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Spartaks Jurmala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Spartaks Jurmala lately — more wins on the board than FC Jurmala.
90% — that's where the model lands on Spartaks Jurmala taking it.
Regular Virslīga 2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%

Spartaks Jurmala Clean Sheet 68%

FC Jurmala Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Spartaks Jurmala	FC Jurmala
Matches Played	39	29
Wins	13	1
Draws	6	4
Losses	20	24
Goals Scored	1.13	0
Goals Conceded	2.38	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2014 Virsliga

FC Jurmala vs Spartaks Jurmala

Possession: 46% - 43% Cards: 4 - 2

1:2

Aug 9, 2014 Virsliga

Spartaks Jurmala vs FC Jurmala

Possession: 45% - 52% Cards: 2 - 3

4:1

Jun 14, 2014 Virsliga

FC Jurmala vs Spartaks Jurmala

Possession: 52% - 41% Cards: 3 - 0

0:1

Apr 19, 2014 Virsliga

Spartaks Jurmala vs FC Jurmala

Possession: 49% - 45% Cards: 1 - 3

1:1

Nov 9, 2013 Virsliga

FC Jurmala vs Spartaks Jurmala

Possession: 51% - 44% Cards: 1 - 0

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spartaks Jurmala Compare

Top Goalscorer Punculs E.

3 Goals

Assists Leader Stuglis E.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

FC Jurmala Compare

Top Goalscorer Montalvo B.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartaks Jurmala 95 / 100

FC Jurmala 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Spartaks Jurmala FC Jurmala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPA Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 3:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Jurmala let in goals in 97% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Spartaks Jurmala stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: FC Jurmala has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Spartaks Jurmala scored in 62% of their last 39 games.

Scoring Trends

Spartaks Jurmala VS -

1.13 Goals Scored 0

2.38 Goals Conceded 0

100% Over 1.5 0%

88% Over 2.5 0%

38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ventspils	36	26	5	5	75:20	83
2	Skonto	36	25	1	10	77:34	71
3	Jelgava	36	20	10	6	57:27	70
4	FK Liepaja	36	21	3	12	72:45	66
5	FC Daugava Daugavpils	36	19	8	9	53:39	65
6	Spartaks Jurmala	36	14	9	13	38:32	51
7	FK Daugava Riga	36	13	4	19	48:64	43
8	BFC Daugavpils	36	8	5	23	30:65	29
9	FK Metta	36	3	7	26	26:69	16
10	FC Jurmala	36	2	6	28	29:110	7