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Speks vs Grobina

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup 2021
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Oketola O.
(Penalty)
12' Event
Freimanis J.
29' Event
Oketola O.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-2, with Speks advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Speks
15%
Draws
26%
Grobina
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Speks

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Grobina carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Speks a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Grobina arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Speks, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Speks Clean Sheet 20%
Grobina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Speks Grobina
Matches Played 9 33
Wins 6 7
Draws 0 10
Losses 3 16
Goals Scored 2.67 1
Goals Conceded 1.78 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 2.23 1.04
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2021 Latvian Cup
Speks vs Grobina
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Speks Compare

Top Goalscorer Oketola O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Savalnieks N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.72
Avg xA / game 1.11

Grobina Compare

Top Goalscorer Freimanis J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Speks 67 / 100
Grobina 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Speks Grobina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Speks Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Speks's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 9 recent games.

Grobina has conceded goals in 76% of their last 33 outings.

Solid form: Speks remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Speks VS Grobina
3.33 Goals Scored 0.75
1.33 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 50%
100% Over 2.5 25%
100% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Speks

(Home)
10 Jul
FK Metta
3 : 1
Speks
20 Jun
Salaspils FK
1 : 3
Speks
31 May
Speks
6 : 0
FK Union / JFK Daugava
01 Jun
Speks
0 : 3
Riga United
14 May
Speks
4 : 3
FK Alberts
Page 1 of 2

Grobina

(Away)
12 Sept
Grobina
0 : 0
Jelgava
06 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
Grobina
29 Aug
Grobina
1 : 0
BFC Daugavpils
21 Aug
FK Liepaja
3 : 1
Grobina
17 Aug
FK Auda Riga
3 : 2
Grobina
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Kadaga/Ostas -
TBD -
TBD -
Preilu BJSS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Smiltene -
RTU 1
JFC Viola 2
TBD -
Riga United -
Sigulda -
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DSVK Traktors -
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FK Liepaja -
Spartaks Jurmala -
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BFC Daugavpils -
Valmiera -
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Upesciems -
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AFA Olaine -
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Speks -
Jekabpils SC -
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Grobina -
Kalupe -
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Kengaroos -
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Dinamo Riga -
Saldus SS/Leevon -
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Fk Jurnieks Riga -
Alberts JDFS -
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SK Babite 3
Dobele Allegro 0
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Skanste -
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Gauja -
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Tente -
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RFS -
FK Metta -
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Marupe -
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Talsi -
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FK Auda Riga -
Caramba -
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FK Alberts -
Lielupe -
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Valka -
Riga FC -
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Kuivizu Spartaks -
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FK Limbazi -
Aliance -
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Bebri -
Tukums 2000 -
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Bauskas / Memele -
TBD -
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Livani -
Salaspils FK -
TBD -
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Rezekne -
Super Nova -
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Sports United/Cesis -
FK Varaklani -
TBD -
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FK Madona Kvarcs -
TBD -
TBD -
Latgols / Ludza -
Albatroz -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Plavinas -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Karosta -
1/64-finals
Kadaga/Ostas 2
Preilu BJSS 1
TBD -
FK Smiltene -
JFC Viola 5
Riga United 0
Sigulda 4
DSVK Traktors 3
TBD -
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FK Liepaja -
Spartaks Jurmala -
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BFC Daugavpils -
Valmiera -
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Upesciems -
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AFA Olaine 0
Speks 2
Jekabpils SC -
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Grobina -
Kalupe 4
Kengaroos 5
TBD -
Dinamo Riga -
Saldus SS/Leevon -
TBD -
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Fk Jurnieks Riga -
Alberts JDFS -
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SK Babite -
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Skanste 5
Gauja 1
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Tente -
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RFS -
FK Metta -
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Marupe 5
Talsi 3
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FK Auda Riga -
Caramba 2
FK Alberts 0
Lielupe 1
Valka 3
Riga FC -
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Kuivizu Spartaks 0
FK Limbazi 10
Aliance 4
Bebri 2
Tukums 2000 -
TBD -
Bauskas / Memele 1
Livani 5
Salaspils FK -
TBD -
TBD -
Rezekne -
Super Nova -
TBD -
TBD -
Sports United/Cesis -
FK Varaklani -
TBD -
FK Madona Kvarcs 1
Latgols / Ludza 3
Albatroz -
TBD -
Plavinas 0
FK Karosta 1
1/32-finals
Kadaga/Ostas 0
FK Smiltene 6
JFC Viola 5
Sigulda 2
TBD -
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FK Liepaja -
Spartaks Jurmala -
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BFC Daugavpils -
Valmiera -
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Upesciems 2
Speks 4
Jekabpils SC 0
Grobina 2
Kengaroos 0
Dinamo Riga 2
Saldus SS/Leevon 2
Fk Jurnieks Riga 0
Alberts JDFS 1
SK Babite 0
Skanste 4
Tente 0
TBD -
TBD -
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RFS -
FK Metta -
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Marupe 1
FK Auda Riga 4
Caramba 11
Valka 0
Riga FC -
TBD -
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FK Limbazi 4
Aliance 0
Tukums 2000 4
Livani 0
Salaspils FK 0
Rezekne 7
Super Nova 6
Sports United/Cesis 0
FK Varaklani 0
Latgols / Ludza 5
Albatroz 5
FK Karosta 1
1/16-finals
FK Smiltene 2
JFC Viola 0
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
Spartaks Jurmala -
TBD -
TBD -
BFC Daugavpils -
Valmiera -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Speks 4
Grobina 2
Dinamo Riga 9
Saldus SS/Leevon 0
Alberts JDFS 1
Skanste 2
TBD -
RFS -
FK Metta -
TBD -
FK Auda Riga 3
Caramba 1
Riga FC -
TBD -
FK Limbazi 0
Tukums 2000 2
Rezekne 3
Super Nova 1
Latgols / Ludza 0
Albatroz 1
1/8-finals
FK Smiltene 0
FK Liepaja 3
Spartaks Jurmala 0
BFC Daugavpils 1
Valmiera -
TBD -
Speks 0
Dinamo Riga 2
Skanste 0
RFS 2
FK Metta 1
FK Auda Riga 3
Riga FC 3
Tukums 2000 1
Rezekne 0
Albatroz 3
Quarter-finals
FK Liepaja 1
BFC Daugavpils 0
Valmiera 5
Dinamo Riga 0
RFS 4
FK Auda Riga 0
Riga FC 3
Albatroz 0
Semi-finals
FK Liepaja 2
Valmiera 0
RFS 3
Riga FC 1
Final
FK Liepaja 0
RFS 1