Sport Picks
Spezia vs Sassari Torres
Italy
Coppa Italia Serie C Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia 
Match Events
41'
41'
Mazzocchi S.
64'
64'
Di Stefano L.
69'
69'
Sapola M.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 4-1. This leg finished 4-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
15%
27%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spezia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Spezia average 1.48 goals a game right now, well clear of Sassari Torres's 1.46.
- Spezia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor Spezia, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Spezia have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Spezia Clean Sheet 16%
Sassari Torres Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Spezia | Sassari Torres |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 26 |
| Wins | 10 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 10 |
| Losses | 11 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 1.46 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.41 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 16, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie C
Spezia vs Sassari Torres
4:1
Jan 23, 2005 Lega Pro C1/A
Spezia vs Sassari Torres
2:1
Sep 12, 2004 Lega Pro C1/A
Sassari Torres vs Spezia
0:1
Mar 20, 2004 Lega Pro C1/A
Sassari Torres vs Spezia
1:0
Oct 25, 2003 Lega Pro C1/A
Spezia vs Sassari Torres
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Spezia Compare
Top Goalscorer Mazzocchi S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sapola M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Sassari Torres Compare
Top Goalscorer Di Stefano L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Spezia 84 / 100
Sassari Torres 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Spezia Sassari Torres
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Spezia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Spezia went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Spezia found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).
Sassari Torres let in goals in 69% of their last 26 matches.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Spezia VS Sassari Torres
1.63 Goals Scored 2.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Spezia
(Home) 06 Sept
Sambenedettese
1 : 2 Spezia
02 Sept
Spezia
3 : 0 Vado
29 Aug
Spezia
1 : 0 Campobasso
23 Aug
Grosseto
1 : 1 Spezia
16 Aug
Spezia
4 : 1 Sassari Torres
Page 1 of 6
02 Sept
Spezia
3 : 0 Vado
29 Aug
Spezia
1 : 0 Campobasso
16 Aug
Spezia
4 : 1 Sassari Torres
01 May
Spezia
2 : 2 Venezia
18 Apr
Spezia
6 : 1 Sudtirol
Page 1 of 3
Sassari Torres
(Away) 06 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 0 Sassari Torres
29 Aug
Sassari Torres
1 : 0 Sambenedettese
24 Aug
Livorno
2 : 1 Sassari Torres
16 Aug
Spezia
4 : 1 Sassari Torres
08 Aug
Latte Dolce
0 : 2 Sassari Torres
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 0 Sassari Torres
24 Aug
Livorno
2 : 1 Sassari Torres
16 Aug
Spezia
4 : 1 Sassari Torres
08 Aug
Latte Dolce
0 : 2 Sassari Torres
05 Aug
Ossese
1 : 3 Sassari Torres
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Campobasso 2
Cavese 0
Salernitana 1
Scafatese 2
Grosseto 3
Guidonia 1937 0
Latina 2
Ostiamare 1
Vado 2
Inter U23 1
Spezia 4
Sassari Torres 1
Alcione Milano 0
Novara 1
Livorno 3
Reggiana 1
Potenza -
TBD -
Audace Cerignola 1
Monopoli 2
Bari 1
Casarano 0
Picerno 2
Barletta 1
Catania -
TBD -
Casertana 1
A.C. Savoia 2
Giugliano 0
Sorrento 1
Crotone 0
Cosenza 2
Foggia 1
Altamura 2
Pescara 0
Sambenedettese 1
Pineto 1
Gubbio 2
Perugia 1
Vis Pesaro 2
Lecco 0
Desenzano Calvina 1
Trento 2
Ospitaletto 1
Arzignano 2
AlbinoLeffe 1
Dolomiti Bellunesi 1
Treviso 0
Carpi 3
Pianese 2
Pro Vercelli 2
Pergolettese 1
Ravenna -
TBD -
Juventus U23 1
Forli FC 2
Union Brescia -
TBD -
Giana Erminio 2
Folgore Caratese 1
Cittadella 3
Atalanta U23 2
Lumezzane 2
Renate 3
1/16-finals
Campobasso 2
Scafatese 1
Grosseto 1
Latina 4
Vado 0
Spezia 3
Novara 0
Livorno 1
Potenza 2
Monopoli 1
Bari 2
Picerno 1
Catania 0
A.C. Savoia 3
Sorrento 1
Cosenza 0
Altamura 3
Sambenedettese 2
Gubbio 5
Vis Pesaro 0
Desenzano Calvina 1
Trento 0
Arzignano 2
Dolomiti Bellunesi 3
Carpi 2
Pro Vercelli 1
Ravenna 2
Forli FC 1
Union Brescia 5
Giana Erminio 2
Cittadella 4
Renate 1
1/8-finals
Campobasso -
Latina -
Spezia -
Livorno -
Potenza -
Bari -
A.C. Savoia -
Sorrento -
Altamura -
Gubbio -
Desenzano Calvina -
Dolomiti Bellunesi -
Carpi -
Ravenna -
Union Brescia -
Cittadella -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
