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Spisska Nova Ves vs FK Poprad

Slovakia Slovakia

3. Liga - East 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Spisska Nova Ves play FK Poprad in the 3. Liga - East 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Spisska Nova Ves averaged 2.11 goals scored and 1 conceded. FK Poprad averaged 1.39 goals scored and 1.46 conceded. In past meetings, Spisska Nova Ves won 3, FK Poprad won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 2, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Spisska Nova Ves and 0.88 for FK Poprad. This points to a Spisska Nova Ves double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Spisska Nova Ves
17%
Draws
30%
FK Poprad
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Spisska Nova Ves

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • Spisska Nova Ves picked up more points recently compared to FK Poprad.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 0.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Spisska Nova Ves Clean Sheet 25%
FK Poprad Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 81%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spisska Nova Ves FK Poprad
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 17 11
Draws 5 4
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 2.11 1.39
Goals Conceded 1 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 3. Liga - East
Spisska Nova Ves vs FK Poprad
3:0
Oct 4, 2025 3. Liga - East
FK Poprad vs Spisska Nova Ves
0:2
Mar 1, 2025 3. Liga - East
FK Poprad vs Spisska Nova Ves
0:0
Aug 3, 2024 3. Liga - East
Spisska Nova Ves vs FK Poprad
2:3
Jul 10, 2024 Club Friendly
Spisska Nova Ves vs FK Poprad
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spisska Nova Ves 53 / 100
FK Poprad 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spisska Nova Ves FK Poprad

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spisska Nova Ves Win (1)
Secondary Pick Spisska Nova Ves & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.7%
2.22
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Spisska Nova Ves attacking → ← attacking FK Poprad

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spisska Nova Ves scored in 89% of their last 27 games.

FK Poprad let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Spisska Nova Ves went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

FK Poprad lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

56 Points in last 5 37
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25