Sport Picks

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Sport Boys vs Comerciantes FC

Peru Peru

Copa de la Liga Estadio Miguel Grau, Callao
Our Tip

Match Events

36'
Sub
Cueva C. In: Mora O.
Out: Cueva C.
46'
Sub
Riojas H. In: Alfani R.
Out: Riojas H.
58'
Rios R.

AI Match Summary

Sport Boys in this Copa de la Liga tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Sport Boys
17%
Draws
13%
Comerciantes FC
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Sport Boys

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Sport Boys average 1 goals a game right now, well clear of Comerciantes FC's 0.75.
  • Sport Boys are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Sport Boys, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Sport Boys Clean Sheet 68%
Comerciantes FC Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sport Boys Comerciantes FC
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 7 13
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.25 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Copa de la Liga
Sport Boys vs Comerciantes FC
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sport Boys Compare

Top Goalscorer Urruti L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Comerciantes FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sport Boys 77 / 100
Comerciantes FC 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sport Boys Comerciantes FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sport Boys found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Solid form: Sport Boys remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Comerciantes FC conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Sport Boys VS Comerciantes FC
1 Goals Scored 0.75
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.38
25% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sport Boys

(Home)
25 Jul
Sport Boys
2 : 0
AD Tarma
19 Jul
Los Chankas
1 : 0
Sport Boys
11 Jul
Sport Boys
1 : 0
Comerciantes FC
28 Jun
Sport Boys
3 : 0
AD Cantolao
13 Jun
U. San Martin
2 : 2
Sport Boys
Page 1 of 6

Comerciantes FC

(Away)
24 Jul
Comerciantes FC
1 : 0
Alianza Huanuco
18 Jul
Sport Huancayo 2
1 : 1
Comerciantes FC
11 Jul
Sport Boys
1 : 0
Comerciantes FC
27 Jun
Comerciantes FC
0 : 0
Estudiantil CNI
20 Jun
Union Comercio
0 : 1
Comerciantes FC
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Alianza Atl.3
Pirata2
Cajamarca4
ADA Jaen1
Atletico Grau2
Carlos Mannucci1
Sport Boys1
Comerciantes FC0
Sporting Cristal2
Tacna Heroica1
Sport Huancayo3
Los Chankas1
Cienciano2
AD Tarma3
Moquegua1
Deportivo Garcilaso0
Quarter-finals
Alianza Atl.-
Cajamarca-
Atletico Grau-
Sport Boys-
Sporting Cristal-
Sport Huancayo-
AD Tarma-
Moquegua-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-