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Sport Recife W vs Doce Mel W

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Brasileiro A2 Women
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sport Recife W play Doce Mel W in the Brasileiro A2 Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sport Recife W averaged 2.27 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. Doce Mel W averaged 1.03 goals scored and 2.1 conceded. In past meetings, Sport Recife W won 1, Doce Mel W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 4, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Sport Recife W and 1.06 for Doce Mel W. This points to a Sport Recife W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Sport Recife W
18%
Draws
32%
Doce Mel W
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Sport Recife W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Sport Recife W picked up more points recently compared to Doce Mel W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Sport Recife W Clean Sheet 22%
Doce Mel W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sport Recife W Doce Mel W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 4 6
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 2.27 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.33 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Brasileiro A2 Women
Sport Recife W vs Doce Mel W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sport Recife W Compare

Top Goalscorer Pereira A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Layza
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Doce Mel W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sport Recife W 49 / 100
Doce Mel W 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sport Recife W Doce Mel W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Sport Recife W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19%
2.38
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.79
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sport Recife W attacking → ← attacking Doce Mel W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sport Recife W scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Doce Mel W let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Sport Recife W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Doce Mel W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 33
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Vasco W12111043:834
2Itabirito W12101123:631
3Minas Brasilia W1292128:629
4Atletico-PI W1290329:1027
5Acao W1262415:1320
63B da Amazonia W1145211:817
7Sport Recife W1252513:1417
8Perolas Negras W1244416:1816
9Taubate W1242619:1714
10Atletico Rio Negro (Roraima) W1242612:2214
11Doce Mel W123459:1813
12Ceara W1131710:1710
13Vila Nova FC W1231812:2710
14Paysandu PA W123189:2410
15Itacoatiara W1211109:294
16UD Alagoana W1211107:284