Sport Picks

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Sport Recife W vs Vila Nova FC W

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro A2 Women
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Andrade L.
20' Event
Pereira A.
45' Event
Ingrid

AI Match Summary

The Brasileiro A2 Women game between Sport Recife W and Vila Nova FC W finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sport Recife W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Sport Recife W
22%
Draws
18%
Vila Nova FC W
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Sport Recife W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vila Nova FC W come out ahead of Sport Recife W on wins alone.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Sport Recife W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Sport Recife W Clean Sheet 20%
Vila Nova FC W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sport Recife W Vila Nova FC W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 14
Draws 5 3
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.13 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Brasileiro A2 Women
Sport Recife W vs Vila Nova FC W
3:0
Apr 16, 2023 Brasileiro A2 Women
Sport Recife W vs Vila Nova FC W
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sport Recife W Compare

Top Goalscorer Andrade L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pereira A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Vila Nova FC W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sport Recife W 58 / 100
Vila Nova FC W 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sport Recife W Vila Nova FC W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Sport Recife W found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Vila Nova FC W let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Difficult form: Vila Nova FC W registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sport Recife W VS Vila Nova FC W
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sport Recife W

(Home)
25 Jul
Taubate W
0 : 0
Sport Recife W
01 Jun
Sport Recife W
1 : 0
Paysandu PA W
27 May
Itabirito W
2 : 1
Sport Recife W
24 May
Atletico-PI W
3 : 0
Sport Recife W
21 May
Acao W
1 : 0
Sport Recife W
Page 1 of 6

Vila Nova FC W

(Away)
25 Jul
Vasco W
3 : 0
Vila Nova FC W
30 May
Vila Nova FC W
3 : 2
Taubate W
23 May
3B da Amazonia W
3 : 0
Vila Nova FC W
20 May
Itacoatiara W
2 : 1
Vila Nova FC W
16 May
Vila Nova FC W
0 : 2
Atletico-PI W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vasco W13121046:837
2Itabirito W13111125:634
3Minas Brasilia W13102132:632
4Atletico-PI W1390430:1227
5Acao W1363415:1321
63B da Amazonia W1355316:1020
7Sport Recife W1353513:1418
8Perolas Negras W1345416:1817
9Taubate W1343619:1715
10Atletico Rio Negro (Roraima) W1342712:2414
11Ceara W1341812:2213
12Doce Mel W1334610:2013
13Paysandu PA W1341811:2513
14Vila Nova FC W1331912:3010
15UD Alagoana W1321109:297
16Itacoatiara W1311119:334
Promotion - Brasileiro A2 Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - Brasileiro A3 Women 2027 (Main)