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Sport Sal-Rei vs Academica Porto Novo

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato Nacional 2018 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Sport Sal-Rei
22%
Draws
60%
Academica Porto Novo
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Academica Porto Novo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Sport Sal-Rei haven't matched Academica Porto Novo's recent run of results.
  • Academica Porto Novo are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional 2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Academica Porto Novo here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Sport Sal-Rei Clean Sheet 20%
Academica Porto Novo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sport Sal-Rei Academica Porto Novo
Matches Played 27 31
Wins 2 11
Draws 5 11
Losses 20 9
Goals Scored 0.83 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.83 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.17 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2018 Campeonato Nacional
Academica Porto Novo vs Sport Sal-Rei
2:1
Apr 7, 2018 Campeonato Nacional
Sport Sal-Rei vs Academica Porto Novo
1:1
May 28, 2016 Campeonato Nacional
Sport Sal-Rei vs Academica Porto Novo
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sport Sal-Rei 20 / 100
Academica Porto Novo 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sport Sal-Rei Academica Porto Novo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ACA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sport Sal-Rei scored in 63% of their last 27 outings.

Defensive concern: Academica Porto Novo conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Sport Sal-Rei stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sport Sal-Rei VS Academica Porto Novo
0.83 Goals Scored 0.75
1.17 Goals Conceded 1.25
67% Over 1.5 50%
33% Over 2.5 25%
17% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sport Sal-Rei

(Home)
24 May
Sport Sal-Rei
2 : 0
Scorpion Vermelho
18 May
Paulense
2 : 2
Sport Sal-Rei
10 May
Sport Sal-Rei
0 : 1
Sanjoanenses
04 May
Boavista da Praia
2 : 0
Sport Sal-Rei
26 Apr
Sport Sal-Rei
1 : 2
Academica Praia
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Academica Porto Novo

(Away)
27 Jun
Mindelense
2 : 1
Academica Porto Novo
20 Jun
Academica Porto Novo
2 : 2
Mindelense
14 Jun
Academica Porto Novo
1 : 1
SC Africa Show
06 Jun
Academico do Sal
1 : 2
Academica Porto Novo
30 May
Scorpion Vermelho
0 : 1
Academica Porto Novo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Academica Praia63216:411
2Mindelense62406:410
3Academica Porto Novo62228:78
4Sport Sal-Rei60245:102
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2018 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Foguetoes63215:411
2Belo Horizonte62319:59
3Scorpion Vermelho62318:69
4Morabeza61054:113
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2018 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Palmeira63128:710
2Sporting Praia62225:58
3Vulcanico62224:48
4Barreirense61327:86
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2018 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams