Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sporting Kansas City II vs Minnesota United 2

USA USA

MLS Next Pro Swope Soccer Village, Kansas City, MO
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Randell D.
25'
Chandler K.
35'
Dang N.

AI Match Summary

Minnesota United 2 in this MLS Next Pro matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Minnesota United 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Sporting Kansas City II
28%
Draws
50%
Minnesota United 2
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Minnesota United 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Minnesota United 2 lately — more wins on the board than Sporting Kansas City II.
  • Minnesota United 2 are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular MLS Next Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Minnesota United 2 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Sporting Kansas City II Clean Sheet 10%
Minnesota United 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting Kansas City II Minnesota United 2
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 9 19
Draws 0 0
Losses 22 14
Goals Scored 1.63 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.63 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Sporting Kansas City II vs Minnesota United 2
1:0
Jun 9, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Minnesota United 2 vs Sporting Kansas City II
4:3
Mar 23, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Sporting Kansas City II vs Minnesota United 2
0:1
Oct 5, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Minnesota United 2 vs Sporting Kansas City II
3:1
Aug 9, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Minnesota United 2 vs Sporting Kansas City II
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sporting Kansas City II Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Minnesota United 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Randell D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting Kansas City II 22 / 100
Minnesota United 2 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting Kansas City II Minnesota United 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MNU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Sporting Kansas City II found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Minnesota United 2 let in goals in 79% of their last 33 matches.

Minnesota United 2's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sporting Kansas City II VS Minnesota United 2
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting Kansas City II

(Home)
20 Jul
Sporting Kansas City II
1 : 0
Minnesota United 2
08 Jul
San Jose Earthquakes II
6 : 1
Sporting Kansas City II
22 Jun
Austin FC II
2 : 1
Sporting Kansas City II
09 Jun
Minnesota United 2
4 : 3
Sporting Kansas City II
30 May
Real Monarchs
1 : 3
Sporting Kansas City II
Page 1 of 7

Minnesota United 2

(Away)
20 Jul
Sporting Kansas City II
1 : 0
Minnesota United 2
13 Jul
Austin FC II
2 : 3
Minnesota United 2
05 Jul
Houston Dynamo 2
4 : 0
Minnesota United 2
29 Jun
Minnesota United 2
3 : 2
Tacoma Defiance
25 Jun
Los Angeles FC 2
1 : 0
Minnesota United 2
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Columbus Crew 219140535:2939
2New York Red Bulls II19100940:2932
3New England Revolution II17110623:2032
4New York City II1690727:2328
5CT United FC18100833:3228
6Philadelphia Union II19901021:2326
7Toronto FC II19801130:3625
8FC Cincinnati 218501317:3414
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Crown Legacy18130544:2737
2Orlando City B19120740:3335
3Chattanooga19120735:3034
4Atlanta United 21890938:2830
5Chicago Fire II1890929:2727
6Huntsville City18801031:3525
7Carolina Core20601426:3221
8Inter Miami II17101614:455
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portland Timbers 219120725:2337
2Ventura County19110834:2732
3Los Angeles FC 21890928:3029
4San Jose Earthquakes II1790837:2028
5Tacoma Defiance19901023:2627
6Real Monarchs19100931:3526
7Vancouver Whitecaps 220601425:4417
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Austin FC II18140440:1643
2Houston Dynamo 217140339:1540
3Minnesota United 2201001028:3229
4St. Louis City 219100930:3229
5North Texas1780927:2125
6Sporting Kansas City II19501424:5016
7Colorado Rapids 219301617:3712
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Columbus Crew 219140535:2939
2Crown Legacy18130544:2737
3Orlando City B19120740:3335
4Chattanooga19120735:3034
5New York Red Bulls II19100940:2932
6New England Revolution II17110623:2032
7Atlanta United 21890938:2830
8New York City II1690727:2328
9CT United FC18100833:3228
10Chicago Fire II1890929:2727
11Philadelphia Union II19901021:2326
12Toronto FC II19801130:3625
13Huntsville City18801031:3525
14Carolina Core20601426:3221
15FC Cincinnati 218501317:3414
16Inter Miami II17101614:455
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Austin FC II18140440:1643
2Houston Dynamo 217140339:1540
3Portland Timbers 219120725:2337
4Ventura County19110834:2732
5Minnesota United 2201001028:3229
6St. Louis City 219100930:3229
7Los Angeles FC 21890928:3029
8San Jose Earthquakes II1790837:2028
9Tacoma Defiance19901023:2627
10Real Monarchs19100931:3526
11North Texas1780927:2125
12Vancouver Whitecaps 220601425:4417
13Sporting Kansas City II19501424:5016
14Colorado Rapids 219301617:3712
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)