Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sporting Kansas City vs New York City

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Harris C.
26' Event
Joveljic D.
50' Event
Reid S.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Sporting Kansas City in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sporting Kansas City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Sporting Kansas City
39%
Draws
31%
New York City
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Sporting Kansas City haven't matched New York City's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Sporting Kansas City Clean Sheet 10%
New York City Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting Kansas City New York City
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 7 12
Draws 3 6
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 1.38 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Sporting Kansas City vs New York City
2:1
Jul 20, 2025 MLS
Sporting Kansas City vs New York City
1:1
Feb 5, 2025 Club Friendly
New York City vs Sporting Kansas City
0:0
May 7, 2022 MLS
New York City vs Sporting Kansas City
0:0
Oct 4, 2020 MLS
Sporting Kansas City vs New York City
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sporting Kansas City Compare

Top Goalscorer Harris C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Joveljic D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

New York City Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting Kansas City 29 / 100
New York City 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting Kansas City New York City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New York City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Sporting Kansas City remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Sporting Kansas City scored in 57% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Sporting Kansas City VS New York City
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
2.5 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting Kansas City

(Home)
23 Jul
Sporting Kansas City
2 : 1
Minnesota United
17 Jul
St. Louis City
3 : 2
Sporting Kansas City
24 May
Sporting Kansas City
1 : 2
New York Red Bulls
17 May
Austin FC
1 : 2
Sporting Kansas City
14 May
Sporting Kansas City
3 : 1
Los Angeles Galaxy
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New York City

(Away)
22 Jul
Columbus Crew
1 : 2
New York City
24 May
Nashville SC
2 : 1
New York City
20 May
Columbus Crew
1 : 0
New York City
16 May
New York Red Bulls
1 : 1
New York City
13 May
Charlotte FC
0 : 1
New York City
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