Sport Picks
Sporting Kansas City vs Seattle Sounders
USA
MLS Children's Mercy Park, Kansas City, KS 
Match Events
2'
2'
Rothrock P.
18'
18'
Joveljic D.
31'
31'
Ragen J.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this MLS matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sporting Kansas City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Seattle Sounders lately — more wins on the board than Sporting Kansas City.
- Win probability leans Sporting Kansas City's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Sporting Kansas City Clean Sheet 10%
Seattle Sounders Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sporting Kansas City | Seattle Sounders |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 16 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 19 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.75 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.75 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 2, 2026 MLS
Sporting Kansas City vs Seattle Sounders
1:1
Aug 25, 2025 MLS
Seattle Sounders vs Sporting Kansas City
5:2
Jul 13, 2025 MLS
Sporting Kansas City vs Seattle Sounders
2:3
Sep 15, 2024 MLS
Seattle Sounders vs Sporting Kansas City
2:0
Jun 9, 2024 MLS
Sporting Kansas City vs Seattle Sounders
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sporting Kansas City Compare
Top Goalscorer Joveljic D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Seattle Sounders Compare
Top Goalscorer Rothrock P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sporting Kansas City 83 / 100
Seattle Sounders 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sporting Kansas City Seattle Sounders
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick KAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.
Defensive concern: Seattle Sounders conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.
Sporting Kansas City has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Seattle Sounders's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Sporting Kansas City VS Seattle Sounders
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Sporting Kansas City
(Home) 23 Jul
Sporting Kansas City
2 : 1 Minnesota United
17 Jul
St. Louis City
3 : 2 Sporting Kansas City
24 May
Sporting Kansas City
1 : 2 New York Red Bulls
17 May
Austin FC
1 : 2 Sporting Kansas City
14 May
Sporting Kansas City
3 : 1 Los Angeles Galaxy
Page 1 of 6
23 Jul
Sporting Kansas City
2 : 1 Minnesota United
24 May
Sporting Kansas City
1 : 2 New York Red Bulls
14 May
Sporting Kansas City
3 : 1 Los Angeles Galaxy
02 May
Sporting Kansas City
1 : 1 Seattle Sounders
12 Apr
Sporting Kansas City
1 : 3 San Jose Earthquakes
Page 1 of 4
Seattle Sounders
(Away) 23 Jul
Austin FC
3 : 1 Seattle Sounders
17 Jul
Seattle Sounders
1 : 5 Portland Timbers
25 May
Los Angeles FC
1 : 0 Seattle Sounders
17 May
Seattle Sounders
0 : 2 Los Angeles Galaxy
14 May
Seattle Sounders
3 : 2 San Jose Earthquakes
Page 1 of 6
23 Jul
Austin FC
3 : 1 Seattle Sounders
25 May
Los Angeles FC
1 : 0 Seattle Sounders
02 May
Sporting Kansas City
1 : 1 Seattle Sounders
09 Apr
Tigres UANL
2 : 0 Seattle Sounders
05 Apr
Houston Dynamo
0 : 1 Seattle Sounders
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 37:16 | 32 |
| 2 | San Jose Earthquakes | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 34:19 | 32 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 30:18 | 30 |
| 4 | Real Salt Lake | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 27:22 | 26 |
| 5 | FC Dallas | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 32:24 | 26 |
| 6 | Seattle Sounders | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 19:19 | 24 |
| 7 | Houston Dynamo | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 20:24 | 23 |
| 8 | St. Louis City | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 22:23 | 22 |
| 9 | Minnesota United | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 19:24 | 22 |
| 10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23:28 | 20 |
| 11 | Colorado Rapids | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 26:24 | 19 |
| 12 | Portland Timbers | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 29:31 | 18 |
| 13 | San Diego FC | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 30:28 | 17 |
| 14 | Austin FC | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22:32 | 17 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 18:40 | 14 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 33:11 | 39 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 42:30 | 34 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 29:19 | 26 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 22:18 | 26 |
| 5 | FC Cincinnati | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 40:40 | 23 |
| 6 | New York City | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 27:22 | 22 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 26:25 | 22 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 26:35 | 22 |
| 9 | DC United | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 22:26 | 19 |
| 10 | Orlando City | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 27:44 | 17 |
| 11 | Columbus Crew | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 22:25 | 16 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 22:29 | 16 |
| 13 | CF Montreal | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 22:32 | 15 |
| 14 | Atlanta United | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 16:26 | 12 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 21:31 | 10 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)