Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sporting Liesti vs CSM Focsani

Romania Romania

Romanian Cup 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Crihana B.
42' Event
Stancu M.
57' Event
Stancu M.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-3, with CSM Focsani advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Sporting Liesti
20%
Draws
20%
CSM Focsani
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sporting Liesti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sporting Liesti come out ahead of CSM Focsani on wins alone.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Sporting Liesti taking it.
  • Sporting Liesti have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor CSM Focsani, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Sporting Liesti Clean Sheet 17%
CSM Focsani Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting Liesti CSM Focsani
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 18 5
Draws 1 8
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 2.43 0.66
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2024 Romanian Cup
Sporting Liesti vs CSM Focsani
2:3
May 8, 2024 Liga 3 - Seria 2
CSM Focsani vs Sporting Liesti
4:0
Apr 20, 2024 Liga 3 - Seria 2
Sporting Liesti vs CSM Focsani
2:2
Mar 30, 2024 Liga 3 - Seria 2
CSM Focsani vs Sporting Liesti
5:0
Mar 9, 2024 Liga 3 - Seria 2
Sporting Liesti vs CSM Focsani
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sporting Liesti Compare

Top Goalscorer Crihana B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Munchiu D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

CSM Focsani Compare

Top Goalscorer Stancu M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Danaila G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting Liesti 66 / 100
CSM Focsani 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting Liesti CSM Focsani

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting Liesti Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting Liesti found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

CSM Focsani let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

CSM Focsani's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sporting Liesti VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting Liesti

(Home)
23 Sept
Calarasi
3 : 2
Sporting Liesti
19 Sept
Sporting Liesti
5 : 4
Inainte Modelu
12 Sept
Agigea
2 : 0
Sporting Liesti
05 Sept
Sporting Liesti
6 : 0
Portul Constanta
02 Sept
Sporting Liesti
1 : 4
Dinamo Bucuresti
Page 1 of 6

CSM Focsani

(Away)
30 Jul
Adjud
3 : 0
CSM Focsani
10 May
CSM Focsani
1 : 2
Corvinul Hunedoara
26 Apr
CSC Dumbravita
0 : 0
CSM Focsani
18 Apr
CSM Focsani
1 : 1
FC Bihor
12 Apr
Metalul Buzau
3 : 0
CSM Focsani
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Concordia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Steaua Bucuresti -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Poli Iasi -
Paulesti 1
CSO Plopeni 3
TBD -
Blejoi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Voluntari -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dinamo Bucuresti -
Vointa Cudalbi 3
Viitorul Onesti 2
Sporting Liesti 2
Unirea Branistea 1
Targu Secuiesc 0
Odorheiu 2
TBD -
CSM Focsani -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Hermannstadt -
Sporting Rosiori 1
SCM Dunarea Giurgiu 2
TBD -
Cetatea Turnu Magurele -
Vedita Colonesti -
TBD -
TBD -
CSM Alexandria -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Botosani -
Sutesti 0
Viitorul Ianca 3
Hamangia Baia 0
Braila 3
Vointa Limpezis 1
CSM Ramnicu Sarat 3
TBD -
Metalul Buzau -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Universitatea Cluj -
Socodor 0
Progresul Pecica 5
TBD -
Politehnica Timisoara -
Avantul Periam 1
Peciu Nou 2
TBD -
CSC Dumbravita -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Petrolul -
CS Din. Bucuresti -
TBD -
TBD -
Afumati -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Metaloglobus Bucharest -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Buzau -
Tarlungeni 0
Kids Tampa Brasov 3
TBD -
Cetate Rasnov -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Miercurea Ciuc -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Unirea Slobozia -
Ineu 3
Soimii Lipova 1
Bihorul Beius 1
Gloria Lunca Teuz Cermei 2
Baile Felix 2
Crisul Santandrei 3
TBD -
FC Bihor -
Vointa Lupac 5
Phoenix Buzias 0
TBD -
Ghiroda & Giarmata Vii -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
CSM Resita -
Muscelul Muscel 4
Flacara Moreni 2
Tricolorul Breaza 1
FC Pucioasa 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Campionii Arges -
Viitorul Targu Jiu -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Corvinul Hunedoara -
CSM Pascani 3
Stiinta Miroslava 0
Gloria Ultra 2
CSM Vaslui 1
Viitorul Darabani 0
Somuz Falticeni 3
TBD -
Bucovina Radauti -
Aerostar 2
CSM Bacau 1
TBD -
FC Bacau -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ceahlaul -
Olimpia Satu Mare 1
Baia Mare 5
TBD -
Sighetu Marmatiei -
Victoria Carei 1
CSM Satu Mare 7
TBD -
SCM Zalau -
Stiinta Turceni 0
Gilortul Tg. Carbunesti 7
TBD -
Ramnicu Valcea -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mioveni -
Minerul Ocna Dej 0
Viitorul Cluj 3
Viitorul Sintimbru 1
Sanatatea Cluj 4
Gloria Bistrita -
TBD -
TBD -
Unirea Dej -
Olimpic Zarnesti -
TBD -
TBD -
Campulung -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chindia Targoviste -
Industria Galda 0
Unirea Alba-Iulia 10
TBD -
CSM Deva -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Selimbar -
Petrolul Potcoava 1
Curtisoara 0
TBD -
CSO Filiasi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC U Craiova -
Progresul Fundulea 1
Recolta Gheorghe Doja 5
Inainte Modelu 0
Agricola Borcea 2
Axiopolis Cernavoda 0
Gloria Baneasa 1
TBD -
Calarasi -
Lupii Profa 4
Unirea Bascov 0
Calimanesti 1
Viitorul Daesti 7
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
CSM Slatina -
Popesti Leordeni -
TBD -
TBD -
Progresul Spartac -
Stefanesti 4
LPS HD Clinceni 2
TBD -
Tunari -
Metalurgistul Cugir 4
ACS Medias 1
SR Brasov 0
Univ. Alba Iulia 4
Avantul Reghin 7
ACS Targu Mures 1898 0
TBD -
Unirea Ungheni -
Quarter-finals
Concordia -
TBD -
TBD -
Steaua Bucuresti -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Poli Iasi -
CSO Plopeni 0
Blejoi 2
TBD -
Voluntari -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dinamo Bucuresti -
Vointa Cudalbi 1
Sporting Liesti 2
Odorheiu 0
CSM Focsani 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Hermannstadt -
SCM Dunarea Giurgiu 4
Cetatea Turnu Magurele 1
Vedita Colonesti 1
CSM Alexandria 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Botosani -
Viitorul Ianca 1
Braila 2
CSM Ramnicu Sarat 1
Metalul Buzau 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Universitatea Cluj -
Progresul Pecica 6
Politehnica Timisoara 8
Peciu Nou 1
CSC Dumbravita 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Petrolul -
CS Din. Bucuresti 2
Afumati 4
TBD -
Metaloglobus Bucharest -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Buzau -
Kids Tampa Brasov 2
Cetate Rasnov 1
TBD -
Miercurea Ciuc -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Unirea Slobozia -
Ineu 0
Gloria Lunca Teuz Cermei 3
Crisul Santandrei 1
FC Bihor 2
Vointa Lupac 0
Ghiroda & Giarmata Vii 2
TBD -
CSM Resita -
Muscelul Muscel 3
FC Pucioasa 0
TBD -
Campionii Arges -
Viitorul Targu Jiu -
TBD -
TBD -
Corvinul Hunedoara -
CSM Pascani 2
Gloria Ultra 1
Somuz Falticeni 6
Bucovina Radauti 7
Aerostar 1
FC Bacau 3
TBD -
Ceahlaul -
Baia Mare 3
Sighetu Marmatiei 2
CSM Satu Mare 0
SCM Zalau 4
Gilortul Tg. Carbunesti 4
Ramnicu Valcea 5
TBD -
Mioveni -
Viitorul Cluj 1
Sanatatea Cluj 4
Gloria Bistrita 1
Unirea Dej 0
Olimpic Zarnesti 2
Campulung 3
TBD -
Chindia Targoviste -
Unirea Alba-Iulia 15
CSM Deva 0
TBD -
Selimbar -
Petrolul Potcoava 3
CSO Filiasi 1
TBD -
FC U Craiova -
Recolta Gheorghe Doja 6
Agricola Borcea 7
Gloria Baneasa 0
Calarasi 2
Lupii Profa 4
Viitorul Daesti 2
TBD -
CSM Slatina -
Popesti Leordeni 2
Progresul Spartac 1
Stefanesti 1
Tunari 5
Metalurgistul Cugir 1
Univ. Alba Iulia 3
Avantul Reghin 0
Unirea Ungheni 1
Semi-finals
Concordia 1
Steaua Bucuresti 0
TBD -
Poli Iasi -
Blejoi 2
Voluntari 3
TBD -
Dinamo Bucuresti -
Sporting Liesti 2
CSM Focsani 3
TBD -
FC Hermannstadt -
SCM Dunarea Giurgiu 2
CSM Alexandria 3
TBD -
FC Botosani -
Braila 1
Metalul Buzau 5
TBD -
Universitatea Cluj -
Politehnica Timisoara 1
CSC Dumbravita 2
TBD -
Petrolul -
Afumati 2
Metaloglobus Bucharest 1
TBD -
FC Buzau -
Kids Tampa Brasov 1
Miercurea Ciuc 3
TBD -
Unirea Slobozia -
Gloria Lunca Teuz Cermei 2
FC Bihor 6
Ghiroda & Giarmata Vii 0
CSM Resita 2
Muscelul Muscel 1
Campionii Arges 2
Viitorul Targu Jiu 0
Corvinul Hunedoara 3
CSM Pascani 2
Bucovina Radauti 0
FC Bacau 0
Ceahlaul 1
Baia Mare 1
SCM Zalau 0
Ramnicu Valcea 3
Mioveni 2
Sanatatea Cluj 4
Gloria Bistrita 1
Campulung 2
Chindia Targoviste 0
Unirea Alba-Iulia 2
Selimbar 1
Petrolul Potcoava 0
FC U Craiova 1
Agricola Borcea 2
Calarasi 1
Lupii Profa 1
CSM Slatina 6
Popesti Leordeni 2
Tunari 1
Univ. Alba Iulia 0
Unirea Ungheni 1
Final
Concordia 0
Poli Iasi 2
Voluntari 0
Dinamo Bucuresti 1
CSM Focsani 0
FC Hermannstadt 3
CSM Alexandria 0
FC Botosani 1
Metalul Buzau 1
Universitatea Cluj 0
CSC Dumbravita 1
Petrolul 2
Afumati 2
FC Buzau 1
Miercurea Ciuc 1
Unirea Slobozia 0
FC Bihor 1
CSM Resita 3
Campionii Arges 2
Corvinul Hunedoara 0
CSM Pascani 0
Ceahlaul 2
Baia Mare 2
Ramnicu Valcea 3
Sanatatea Cluj 2
Campulung 1
Unirea Alba-Iulia 2
FC U Craiova 1
Agricola Borcea 3
CSM Slatina 2
Popesti Leordeni 0
Unirea Ungheni 2