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Sporting Macau vs Macau U23

Macao Macao

Elite League 2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sporting Macau in this Elite League 2015 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sporting Macau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Sporting Macau
15%
Draws
0%
Macau U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sporting Macau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Sporting Macau have won more games recently than Macau U23.
  • Model gives Sporting Macau a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Elite League 2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).
  • Sporting Macau have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 94%
Over 4.5 Goals 42%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Sporting Macau Clean Sheet 10%
Macau U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting Macau Macau U23
Matches Played 48 34
Wins 13 2
Draws 6 0
Losses 29 32
Goals Scored 1.42 0.74
Goals Conceded 3.23 4.47
Expected Goals (xG) 2.23 2.92
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 23, 2019 Elite League
Sporting Macau vs Macau U23
3:1
Feb 14, 2019 Elite League
Macau U23 vs Sporting Macau
3:2
Jun 23, 2017 Elite League
Macau U23 vs Sporting Macau
1:2
Mar 17, 2017 Elite League
Sporting Macau vs Macau U23
1:0
Jun 20, 2015 Elite League
Macau U23 vs Sporting Macau
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting Macau 83 / 100
Macau U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting Macau Macau U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting Macau Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Macau U23 conceded in 97% of 34 recent games.

Difficult form: Macau U23 registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Sporting Macau's goal record stands at 56% scoring rate across 48 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Sporting Macau VS Macau U23
0.13 Goals Scored 0.33
5.5 Goals Conceded 4.33
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
88% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting Macau

(Home)
03 Aug
Sporting Macau
1 : 3
Hang Sai
19 Jul
Gala
3 : 3
Sporting Macau
12 Jul
Lun Lok
1 : 2
Sporting Macau
06 Jul
Sporting Macau
0 : 7
Chiba
28 Jun
Hang Sai
9 : 0
Sporting Macau
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Macau U23

(Away)
09 Sept
Laos U23
3 : 1
Macau U23
06 Sept
Macau U23
0 : 5
Indonesia U23
03 Sept
South Korea U23
5 : 0
Macau U23
12 Sept
Timor-Leste U23
5 : 0
Macau U23
09 Sept
Macau U23
0 : 3
Kuwait U23
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benfica 18 15 2 1 76:9 47
2 Tak Chun Ka I 18 15 1 2 71:16 46
3 Must IPO 18 11 2 5 50:28 35
4 Monte Carlo 18 11 2 5 39:14 35
5 Sporting Macau 18 10 4 4 41:24 34
6 Lai Chi 18 5 4 9 26:42 19
7 Policia 18 4 3 11 17:40 15
8 Chuac Lun 18 4 2 12 17:70 14
9 Casa de Portugal 18 3 3 12 22:66 12
10 Macau U23 18 0 1 17 8:58 1
Promotion - AFC Cup 2016 (Qualification)