Sport Picks
Sporting Trestina vs Villabiagio
Italy
Serie D - Group D 2017/2018 
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group D 2017/2018 game between Sporting Trestina and Villabiagio finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
9%
35%
56%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Villabiagio
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
56%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Villabiagio come out ahead of Sporting Trestina on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular Serie D - Group D 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Sporting Trestina Clean Sheet 20%
Villabiagio Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sporting Trestina | Villabiagio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 11 |
| Draws | 12 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 21, 2018 Serie D - Group D
Sporting Trestina vs Villabiagio
0:0
Sep 17, 2017 Serie D - Group D
Villabiagio vs Sporting Trestina
3:0
Apr 26, 2015 Serie D - Group E
Villabiagio vs Sporting Trestina
2:2
Dec 14, 2014 Serie D - Group E
Sporting Trestina vs Villabiagio
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sporting Trestina 32 / 100
Villabiagio 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sporting Trestina Villabiagio
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Villabiagio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Sporting Trestina scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.
Villabiagio has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 2.25 goals.
Sporting Trestina went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sporting Trestina VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Sporting Trestina
(Home) 20 Sept
Atletico Ascoli
1 : 0 Sporting Trestina
16 Sept
Sporting Trestina
0 : 1 Fossombrone
12 Sept
Lanciano FC
0 : 0 Sporting Trestina
06 Sept
Sporting Trestina
2 : 5 Vigor Senigallia
29 Jul
Gubbio
2 : 0 Sporting Trestina
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Sporting Trestina
0 : 1 Fossombrone
06 Sept
Sporting Trestina
2 : 5 Vigor Senigallia
26 Apr
Sporting Trestina
0 : 2 Prato
12 Apr
Sporting Trestina
1 : 1 Follonica Gavorrano
28 Mar
Sporting Trestina
1 : 1 Scandicci
Page 1 of 3
Villabiagio
(Away) 06 May
Colligiana
2 : 3 Villabiagio
29 Apr
Villabiagio
0 : 0 Imolese
22 Apr
Lentigione
4 : 0 Villabiagio
15 Apr
Villabiagio
2 : 2 Sammaurese
08 Apr
Vigor Carpaneto
1 : 1 Villabiagio
Page 1 of 6
06 May
Colligiana
2 : 3 Villabiagio
22 Apr
Lentigione
4 : 0 Villabiagio
08 Apr
Vigor Carpaneto
1 : 1 Villabiagio
25 Mar
Sangiovannese
2 : 1 Villabiagio
18 Mar
Sasso Marconi
2 : 0 Villabiagio
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rimini | 38 | 23 | 11 | 4 | 65:38 | 80 |
| 2 | Imolese | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 72:45 | 71 |
| 3 | Forli FC | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 60:43 | 65 |
| 4 | Fiorenzuola | 38 | 16 | 16 | 6 | 50:32 | 64 |
| 5 | Sangiovannese | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 42:38 | 61 |
| 6 | Lentigione | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 45:33 | 60 |
| 7 | Villabiagio | 38 | 17 | 8 | 13 | 52:49 | 59 |
| 8 | Pianese | 38 | 14 | 16 | 8 | 54:35 | 58 |
| 9 | Montevarchi | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 42:40 | 56 |
| 10 | Romagna Centro | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 49:42 | 54 |
| 11 | Sammaurese | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 34:29 | 54 |
| 12 | Sasso Marconi | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 35:48 | 45 |
| 13 | Vigor Carpaneto | 38 | 9 | 18 | 11 | 50:48 | 45 |
| 14 | Tuttocuoio | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 25:34 | 42 |
| 15 | Sporting Trestina | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 36:52 | 41 |
| 16 | Castelvetro | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 46:62 | 38 |
| 17 | Mezzolara | 38 | 7 | 15 | 16 | 34:50 | 36 |
| 18 | Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro | 38 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 40:62 | 33 |
| 19 | Correggese | 38 | 6 | 14 | 18 | 37:55 | 32 |
| 20 | Colligiana | 38 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 27:60 | 29 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2017/2018 (Play Offs)
