Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sportivo Ameliano vs Recoleta

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa de Primera Estadio Martín Torres
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Baez W.
Assist: Falcon J.
35' Event
Vera E.
Assist: Cabral R.
44' Event
Ocampos C.

AI Match Summary

The Copa de Primera game between Sportivo Ameliano and Recoleta finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sportivo Ameliano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Sportivo Ameliano
30%
Draws
34%
Recoleta
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sportivo Ameliano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Recoleta's 1.63 goals per match outpaces what Sportivo Ameliano have produced (1.13).
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Sportivo Ameliano taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Sportivo Ameliano Clean Sheet 17%
Recoleta Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sportivo Ameliano Recoleta
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 11 9
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.13 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Ameliano vs Recoleta
3:2
Mar 9, 2026 Copa de Primera
Recoleta vs Sportivo Ameliano
1:1
Sep 29, 2025 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Ameliano vs Recoleta
1:4
Jul 21, 2025 Copa de Primera
Recoleta vs Sportivo Ameliano
3:1
May 10, 2025 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Ameliano vs Recoleta
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sportivo Ameliano Compare

Top Goalscorer Vera E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ocampos C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Recoleta Compare

Top Goalscorer Baez W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wlk A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sportivo Ameliano 36 / 100
Recoleta 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sportivo Ameliano Recoleta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Sportivo Ameliano's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Recoleta conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Sportivo Ameliano has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sportivo Ameliano VS Recoleta
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpia Asuncion22154337:1749
2Nacional Asuncion22109331:2239
3Cerro Porteno22115630:2238
4Sportivo Ameliano2289527:2133
5Sportivo Trinidense2288630:2432
6Libertad Asuncion2294934:2631
7Guarani2278727:2329
8Recoleta22841035:3228
9Rubio Nu22651115:2623
102 de Mayo22571018:3522
11Sp. Luqueno22551224:3320
12San Lorenzo22361314:4115