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Sportivo Las Parejas vs Independiente Chivilcoy

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal Estadio La Perrera, Las Parejas
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Sub
Irribarria M. In: Valenzuela J.
Out: Irribarria M.
60'
Caceres E.
68'
Sub
Benitez B. In: Aman Campos F.
Out: Benitez B.

AI Match Summary

Sportivo Las Parejas in this Torneo Federal matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sportivo Las Parejas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Sportivo Las Parejas
6%
Draws
4%
Independiente Chivilcoy
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sportivo Las Parejas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Independiente Chivilcoy haven't matched Sportivo Las Parejas's recent run of results.
  • Sportivo Las Parejas are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Sportivo Las Parejas Clean Sheet 68%
Independiente Chivilcoy Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sportivo Las Parejas Independiente Chivilcoy
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 10 11
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 0.88 0.38
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Torneo Federal
Independiente Chivilcoy vs Sportivo Las Parejas
1:1
May 17, 2026 Torneo Federal
Sportivo Las Parejas vs Independiente Chivilcoy
1:0
Jul 5, 2025 Torneo Federal
Independiente Chivilcoy vs Sportivo Las Parejas
1:0
May 4, 2025 Torneo Federal
Sportivo Las Parejas vs Independiente Chivilcoy
0:1
Jul 7, 2024 Torneo Federal
Sportivo Las Parejas vs Independiente Chivilcoy
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sportivo Las Parejas Compare

Top Goalscorer Villalba G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Independiente Chivilcoy Compare

Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sportivo Las Parejas 95 / 100
Independiente Chivilcoy 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sportivo Las Parejas Independiente Chivilcoy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sportivo Las Parejas went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Independiente Chivilcoy has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Independiente Chivilcoy's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sportivo Las Parejas VS Independiente Chivilcoy
0.88 Goals Scored 0.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sportivo Las Parejas

(Home)
26 Jul
Independiente Chivilcoy
1 : 1
Sportivo Las Parejas
12 Jul
Sportivo Las Parejas
0 : 0
Sportivo Belgrano
05 Jul
Douglas Haig
0 : 0
Sportivo Las Parejas
27 Jun
Sportivo Las Parejas
1 : 1
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
21 Jun
Gimnasia E.R.
0 : 1
Sportivo Las Parejas
Page 1 of 6

Independiente Chivilcoy

(Away)
26 Jul
Independiente Chivilcoy
1 : 1
Sportivo Las Parejas
12 Jul
El Linqueno
2 : 1
Independiente Chivilcoy
05 Jul
Sportivo Belgrano
1 : 1
Independiente Chivilcoy
28 Jun
Independiente Chivilcoy
0 : 4
Douglas Haig
21 Jun
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
2 : 0
Independiente Chivilcoy
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Douglas Haig1894522:1531
2Sportivo Belgrano1879221:930
3Gimnasia Chivilcoy1876517:1227
4Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo1876524:2027
59 de Julio Rafaela1874728:2725
6Sportivo Las Parejas1859412:1324
7Atletico Escobar1864821:2922
8Independiente Chivilcoy1847715:2219
9El Linqueno1854914:2119
10Gimnasia E.R.1845912:1817
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Martin Formosa1693425:1930
2Bartolome Mitre1675413:726
3Sol de America1682619:1426
4Sarmiento de La Banda1674517:1525
5Juventud Antoniana1674519:1125
6Defensores de Vilelas1661921:2619
7Boca Unidos1653819:2518
8Tucuman Central1652914:1917
9Sarmiento Resistencia1636712:2315
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cipolletti1674519:1525
2Argentino MM1658316:1223
3Biblioteca Atenas1665512:1323
4Huracan Las Heras1665511:1323
5Fundacion Amigos1649317:1421
6Deportivo Rincon1654713:1619
7San Martin Mendoza1647511:1519
8Costa Brava1646612:1318
9Juventud U.U.1638510:1017
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpo Bahia Blanca1687113:431
2Alvarado1676319:727
3Kimberley1668215:926
4Villa Mitre1658314:823
5Germinal164667:1418
6Sol de Mayo1646615:1818
7Guillermo Brown1645713:2017
8Santamarina162779:1713
9Circulo Deportivo162778:1613
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)