Sport Picks
Sportivo Trinidense vs Nacional Asuncion
Paraguay
Copa de Primera Estadio Martín Torres, Asunción 
Match Events
13'
13'
Prieto R.
Assist: Canete Torres A. D.
35'
35'
Camacho N.
Assist: Baez Mendoza R.
43'
43'
Camacho N.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
39%
31%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Nacional Asuncion carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Nacional Asuncion arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Nacional Asuncion, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Sportivo Trinidense Clean Sheet 68%
Nacional Asuncion Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sportivo Trinidense | Nacional Asuncion |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 10 | 13 |
| Draws | 12 | 13 |
| Losses | 7 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.88 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 0.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 9, 2026 Copa de Primera
Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense
2:1
Mar 9, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Trinidense vs Nacional Asuncion
1:1
Nov 1, 2025 Copa de Primera
Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense
0:0
Oct 2, 2025 Copa Paraguay
Sportivo Trinidense vs Nacional Asuncion
0:1
Aug 17, 2025 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Trinidense vs Nacional Asuncion
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sportivo Trinidense Compare
Top Goalscorer Camacho N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Nacional Asuncion Compare
Top Goalscorer Prieto R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sportivo Trinidense 41 / 100
Nacional Asuncion 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sportivo Trinidense Nacional Asuncion
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SPO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sportivo Trinidense scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
Nacional Asuncion has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.
H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.
Sportivo Trinidense went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sportivo Trinidense VS Nacional Asuncion
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Sportivo Trinidense
(Home) 24 Jul
Cerro Porteno
1 : 2 Sportivo Trinidense
24 May
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 2 Sportivo Trinidense
15 May
Sportivo Trinidense
3 : 1 Cerro Porteno
09 May
Nacional Asuncion
2 : 1 Sportivo Trinidense
01 May
Sportivo Trinidense
1 : 2 2 de Mayo
Page 1 of 6
15 May
Sportivo Trinidense
3 : 1 Cerro Porteno
01 May
Sportivo Trinidense
1 : 2 2 de Mayo
17 Apr
Sportivo Trinidense
2 : 1 San Lorenzo
06 Apr
Sportivo Trinidense
4 : 0 Rubio Nu
01 Apr
Sportivo Trinidense
2 : 1 Olimpia Asuncion
Page 1 of 3
Nacional Asuncion
(Away) 25 Jul
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 1 Nacional Asuncion
24 May
Nacional Asuncion
2 : 1 Libertad Asuncion
15 May
Rubio Nu
1 : 1 Nacional Asuncion
09 May
Nacional Asuncion
2 : 1 Sportivo Trinidense
03 May
Guarani
0 : 1 Nacional Asuncion
Page 1 of 7
25 Jul
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 1 Nacional Asuncion
15 May
Rubio Nu
1 : 1 Nacional Asuncion
03 May
Guarani
0 : 1 Nacional Asuncion
20 Apr
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 1 Nacional Asuncion
04 Apr
Olimpia Asuncion
3 : 0 Nacional Asuncion
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 37:17 | 49 |
| 2 | Nacional Asuncion | 22 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 31:22 | 39 |
| 3 | Cerro Porteno | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 30:22 | 38 |
| 4 | Sportivo Ameliano | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 27:21 | 33 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 30:24 | 32 |
| 6 | Libertad Asuncion | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 34:26 | 31 |
| 7 | Guarani | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 27:23 | 29 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 35:32 | 28 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 15:26 | 23 |
| 10 | 2 de Mayo | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 18:35 | 22 |
| 11 | Sp. Luqueno | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 24:33 | 20 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 14:41 | 15 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
