Sport Picks
Sportivo Trinidense vs Sp. Luqueno
Paraguay
Copa de Primera Estadio Martín Torres, Asunción 
Match Events
31'
31'
Arrua J.
46'
46'
Sub
Morinigo A. In: Mendoza S.
Out: Morinigo A.
56'
56'
Sub
Ocampos S. In: Maldonado S.
Out: Ocampos S.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
28%
22%
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Sportivo Trinidense
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
76%
/ High Confidence
- Sportivo Trinidense carry the better recent record into this one.
- Sportivo Trinidense are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Sportivo Trinidense have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Sportivo Trinidense, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Sportivo Trinidense Clean Sheet 68%
Sp. Luqueno Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sportivo Trinidense | Sp. Luqueno |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 7 |
| Draws | 12 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.88 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 25, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sp. Luqueno vs Sportivo Trinidense
2:1
Feb 25, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Trinidense vs Sp. Luqueno
1:1
Oct 17, 2025 Copa de Primera
Sp. Luqueno vs Sportivo Trinidense
1:0
Aug 2, 2025 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Trinidense vs Sp. Luqueno
2:0
Apr 15, 2025 Copa de Primera
Sp. Luqueno vs Sportivo Trinidense
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sportivo Trinidense Compare
Top Goalscorer Camacho N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Sp. Luqueno Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sportivo Trinidense 59 / 100
Sp. Luqueno 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sportivo Trinidense Sp. Luqueno
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SPO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sp. Luqueno let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.
Attacking prowess: Sportivo Trinidense scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.
Sportivo Trinidense has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Sportivo Trinidense VS Sp. Luqueno
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Sportivo Trinidense
(Home) 24 May
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 2 Sportivo Trinidense
15 May
Sportivo Trinidense
3 : 1 Cerro Porteno
09 May
Nacional Asuncion
2 : 1 Sportivo Trinidense
01 May
Sportivo Trinidense
1 : 2 2 de Mayo
25 Apr
Sp. Luqueno
2 : 1 Sportivo Trinidense
Page 1 of 6
15 May
Sportivo Trinidense
3 : 1 Cerro Porteno
01 May
Sportivo Trinidense
1 : 2 2 de Mayo
17 Apr
Sportivo Trinidense
2 : 1 San Lorenzo
06 Apr
Sportivo Trinidense
4 : 0 Rubio Nu
01 Apr
Sportivo Trinidense
2 : 1 Olimpia Asuncion
Page 1 of 3
Sp. Luqueno
(Away) 23 May
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 2 Olimpia Asuncion
17 May
San Lorenzo
0 : 0 Sp. Luqueno
10 May
Sp. Luqueno
2 : 3 Libertad Asuncion
02 May
Rubio Nu
0 : 0 Sp. Luqueno
25 Apr
Sp. Luqueno
2 : 1 Sportivo Trinidense
Page 1 of 6
17 May
San Lorenzo
0 : 0 Sp. Luqueno
02 May
Rubio Nu
0 : 0 Sp. Luqueno
18 Apr
Guarani
2 : 1 Sp. Luqueno
05 Apr
Sportivo Ameliano
2 : 2 Sp. Luqueno
27 Mar
Nacional Asuncion
3 : 2 Sp. Luqueno
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 37:17 | 49 |
| 2 | Nacional Asuncion | 22 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 31:22 | 39 |
| 3 | Cerro Porteno | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 30:22 | 38 |
| 4 | Sportivo Ameliano | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 27:21 | 33 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 30:24 | 32 |
| 6 | Libertad Asuncion | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 34:26 | 31 |
| 7 | Guarani | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 27:23 | 29 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 35:32 | 28 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 15:26 | 23 |
| 10 | 2 de Mayo | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 18:35 | 22 |
| 11 | Sp. Luqueno | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 24:33 | 20 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 14:41 | 15 |
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