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SR Reykjavik vs IH Hafnarfjordur

Iceland Iceland

Icelandic Cup 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SR Reykjavik play IH Hafnarfjordur in the Icelandic Cup 2017. IH Hafnarfjordur are favorites here. Recently, SR Reykjavik averaged 1.07 goals scored and 3.71 conceded. IH Hafnarfjordur averaged 2 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. In past meetings, SR Reykjavik won 0, IH Hafnarfjordur won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 22, 2017 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.90 for SR Reykjavik and 3.90 for IH Hafnarfjordur. This points to a IH Hafnarfjordur double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
SR Reykjavik
15%
Draws
64%
IH Hafnarfjordur
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: IH Hafnarfjordur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

90% / Very High Confidence
  • SR Reykjavik picked up more points recently compared to IH Hafnarfjordur.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.90 vs 3.90 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 49%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
SR Reykjavik Clean Sheet 10%
IH Hafnarfjordur Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SR Reykjavik IH Hafnarfjordur
Matches Played 14 30
Wins 3 14
Draws 0 0
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.07 2
Goals Conceded 3.71 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 5.67 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2017 Icelandic Cup
SR Reykjavik vs IH Hafnarfjordur
1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SR Reykjavik 21 / 100
IH Hafnarfjordur 60 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SR Reykjavik IH Hafnarfjordur

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IH Hafnarfjordur Win (2)
Secondary Pick IH Hafnarfjordur & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +61.5%
7.69
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.2%
1.32
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

SR Reykjavik attacking → ← attacking IH Hafnarfjordur

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SR Reykjavik scored in 57% of their last 14 games.

IH Hafnarfjordur let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

SR Reykjavik went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

IH Hafnarfjordur lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

9 Points in last 5 42
1.17 Goals expected (xG) 2.13
5.67 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.63