Sport Picks
Sriwijaya vs Sumsel United Prediction & H2H Stats
Indonesia
Championship 2025/2026 Gelora Sriwijaya Jakabaring, Palembang 
Match Events
10'
10'
Hidayat R.
Assist: Dicki Agung
20'
20'
Tofan Y.
22'
22'
Juninho
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Sumsel United in this Championship 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sumsel United.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sumsel United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Sumsel United lately — more wins on the board than Sriwijaya.
- Model gives Sumsel United a 85% chance of winning this.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Sumsel United here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Sriwijaya Clean Sheet 10%
Sumsel United Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sriwijaya | Sumsel United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 2 | 11 |
| Draws | 2 | 7 |
| Losses | 26 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.6 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.17 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 28, 2026 Championship
Sumsel United vs Sriwijaya
3:0
Jan 24, 2026 Championship
Sriwijaya vs Sumsel United
0:5
Nov 2, 2025 Championship
Sumsel United vs Sriwijaya
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sriwijaya Compare
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Sumsel United Compare
Top Goalscorer Hidayat R.
2 Goals Assists Leader Juninho
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sriwijaya 10 / 100
Sumsel United 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sriwijaya Sumsel United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sumsel United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.33 goals.
Defensive concern: Sumsel United conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.
Sriwijaya's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Away concern: Sumsel United has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Sriwijaya VS Sumsel United
0.25 Goals Scored 1.38
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Sriwijaya
(Home) 02 May
Isenmulang Kalteng
4 : 0 Sriwijaya
25 Apr
Sriwijaya
0 : 3 Garudayaksa
19 Apr
PSMS Medan
1 : 0 Sriwijaya
12 Apr
Persekat Tegal
2 : 0 Sriwijaya
03 Apr
Sriwijaya
0 : 6 PSPS Riau
Page 1 of 6
25 Apr
Sriwijaya
0 : 3 Garudayaksa
03 Apr
Sriwijaya
0 : 6 PSPS Riau
20 Feb
Sriwijaya
1 : 2 Persikad Depok
16 Feb
Sriwijaya
0 : 1 Bekasi City
24 Jan
Sriwijaya
0 : 5 Sumsel United
Page 1 of 3
Sumsel United
(Away) 02 Oct
Persiraja Aceh
1 : 2 Sumsel United
26 Sept
Sumsel United
1 : 2 PSPS Riau
19 Sept
PSGC Ciamis
2 : 0 Sumsel United
13 Sept
Sumsel United
2 : 2 PSMS Medan
02 May
Sumsel United
3 : 1 Persekat Tegal
Page 1 of 6
02 Oct
Persiraja Aceh
1 : 2 Sumsel United
19 Sept
PSGC Ciamis
2 : 0 Sumsel United
26 Apr
PSPS Riau
2 : 0 Sumsel United
04 Apr
Persiraja Aceh
2 : 0 Sumsel United
28 Mar
Isenmulang Kalteng
3 : 2 Sumsel United
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Garudayaksa | 27 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 49:19 | 52 |
| 2 | Isenmulang Kalteng | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 64:34 | 51 |
| 3 | Bekasi City | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 42:27 | 44 |
| 4 | Sumsel United | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 40:33 | 42 |
| 5 | Persiraja Aceh | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 42:32 | 40 |
| 6 | PSPS Riau | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 50:45 | 37 |
| 7 | PSMS Medan | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 33:31 | 36 |
| 8 | Persikad Depok | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 39:45 | 34 |
| 9 | Persekat Tegal | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 23:38 | 27 |
| 10 | Sriwijaya | 27 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 15:93 | 2 |
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSS Sleman | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 53:19 | 56 |
| 2 | Persipura Jayapura | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 44:17 | 56 |
| 3 | PS Barito Putera | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 41:18 | 53 |
| 4 | Tornado Pekanbaru | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 47:21 | 50 |
| 5 | Deltras Sidoarjo | 27 | 13 | 3 | 11 | 39:33 | 42 |
| 6 | Persela Lamongan | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 34:26 | 41 |
| 7 | Persiku Kudus | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 35:41 | 27 |
| 8 | PSIS Semarang | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 22:50 | 23 |
| 9 | Balikpapan | 27 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 23:42 | 19 |
| 10 | Persipal BU | 27 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 19:90 | 7 |
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
