Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SS Nola 1925 vs Francavilla

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Cabrera I.
70' Event
Gatto P.
88' Event
D'Angelo A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group H game between SS Nola 1925 and Francavilla finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Francavilla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
SS Nola 1925
6%
Draws
90%
Francavilla
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Francavilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • SS Nola 1925 haven't matched Francavilla's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Francavilla taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group H form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
SS Nola 1925 Clean Sheet 14%
Francavilla Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SS Nola 1925 Francavilla
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 12
Draws 7 9
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 0.63 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Serie D - Group H
SS Nola 1925 vs Francavilla
1:2
Oct 26, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Francavilla vs SS Nola 1925
1:1
Mar 13, 2022 Serie D - Group H
SS Nola 1925 vs Francavilla
3:1
Oct 31, 2021 Serie D - Group H
Francavilla vs SS Nola 1925
1:1
Jan 6, 2019 Serie D - Group H
SS Nola 1925 vs Francavilla
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SS Nola 1925 Compare

Top Goalscorer D'Angelo A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Francavilla Compare

Top Goalscorer Cabrera I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gatto P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SS Nola 1925 10 / 100
Francavilla 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SS Nola 1925 Francavilla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FCF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SS Nola 1925's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Francavilla let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

SS Nola 1925 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

SS Nola 1925 VS Francavilla
0.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

SS Nola 1925

(Home)
10 May
SS Nola 1925
1 : 1
Heraclea
03 May
SS Nola 1925
2 : 1
Martina Calcio
26 Apr
Paganese
5 : 0
SS Nola 1925
19 Apr
SS Nola 1925
0 : 0
Ferrandina
12 Apr
Manfredonia
1 : 0
SS Nola 1925
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Francavilla

(Away)
03 May
Francavilla
2 : 0
Afragolese
26 Apr
Sarnese
2 : 2
Francavilla
19 Apr
Virtus Francavilla
0 : 3
Francavilla
12 Apr
Francavilla
4 : 1
Acerrana
02 Apr
Fidelis Andria
0 : 0
Francavilla
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barletta 34 20 10 4 54:20 70
2 Martina Calcio 34 18 8 8 47:30 62
3 Citta di Fasano 34 18 8 8 51:35 62
4 Paganese 34 17 7 10 36:32 58
5 A.C.D. Nardo 34 14 13 7 40:27 55
6 Gravina 34 16 7 11 50:40 55
7 Afragolese 34 13 10 11 45:46 49
8 Fidelis Andria 34 13 9 12 35:28 48
9 Virtus Francavilla 34 12 12 10 45:40 48
10 Real Normanna 34 10 13 11 27:26 43
11 Francavilla 34 11 10 13 39:38 43
12 Manfredonia 34 11 10 13 34:39 43
13 Sarnese 34 9 14 11 51:49 41
14 SS Nola 1925 34 11 8 15 42:50 41
15 Heraclea 34 10 8 16 31:39 38
16 Pompei 34 9 7 18 26:38 34
17 Ferrandina 34 7 9 18 21:43 30
18 Acerrana 34 3 5 26 20:74 14
Promotion - Serie D - Group H (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H (Play Out)