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St Albans vs Green Gully

Australia Australia

NPL Victoria Churchill Reserve, Melbourne
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Weier L.

AI Match Summary

St Albans in this NPL Victoria matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored St Albans.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
St Albans
30%
Draws
23%
Green Gully
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: St Albans

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to St Albans lately — more wins on the board than Green Gully.
  • Model gives St Albans a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular NPL Victoria form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
St Albans Clean Sheet 13%
Green Gully Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St Albans Green Gully
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 4
Draws 8 8
Losses 13 18
Goals Scored 1.3 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 NPL Victoria
Green Gully vs St Albans
1:2
May 8, 2026 NPL Victoria
St Albans vs Green Gully
1:0
Jul 25, 2025 NPL Victoria
Green Gully vs St Albans
2:2
Apr 13, 2025 NPL Victoria
St Albans vs Green Gully
1:2
Aug 11, 2024 NPL Victoria
St Albans vs Green Gully
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St Albans Compare

Top Goalscorer Weier L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Green Gully Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St Albans 84 / 100
Green Gully 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St Albans Green Gully

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St Albans Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Green Gully's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: St Albans scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: St Albans stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St Albans VS Green Gully
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

St Albans

(Home)
29 Aug
St Albans
6 : 0
Dandenong Thunder
21 Aug
Green Gully
1 : 2
St Albans
14 Aug
St Albans
1 : 1
Bentleigh Greens
02 Aug
South Melbourne
2 : 0
St Albans
24 Jul
St Albans
3 : 2
Hume City
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Green Gully

(Away)
29 Aug
Melbourne City U21
1 : 2
Green Gully
21 Aug
Green Gully
1 : 2
St Albans
14 Aug
Oakleigh Cannons
4 : 1
Green Gully
31 Jul
Preston Lions
2 : 2
Green Gully
24 Jul
Green Gully
0 : 0
Dandenong City SC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oakleigh Cannons 26 16 6 4 56:24 54
2 Hume City 26 15 4 7 51:36 49
3 Avondale FC 26 15 2 9 65:34 47
4 South Melbourne 26 13 2 11 39:36 41
5 Heidelberg Utd 26 11 7 8 42:34 40
6 Preston Lions 26 15 6 5 41:19 39
7 George Cross 26 9 11 6 35:34 38
8 St Albans 26 9 7 10 36:43 34
9 Dandenong City SC 26 10 7 9 35:31 33
10 Melbourne City U21 26 8 6 12 42:42 30
11 Altona Magic 26 7 7 12 28:42 28
12 Bentleigh Greens 26 6 6 14 27:51 24
13 Green Gully 26 4 6 16 23:52 18
14 Dandenong Thunder 26 4 3 19 23:65 15
Promotion - NPL Victoria (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL Victoria (Play Offs)