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St Andrew Lions vs Ellerton FC

Barbados Barbados

Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ellerton FC in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ellerton FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
St Andrew Lions
6%
Draws
90%
Ellerton FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ellerton FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ellerton FC lately — more wins on the board than St Andrew Lions.
  • Win probability leans Ellerton FC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
St Andrew Lions Clean Sheet 10%
Ellerton FC Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St Andrew Lions Ellerton FC
Matches Played 32 39
Wins 6 23
Draws 8 11
Losses 18 5
Goals Scored 1 1.88
Goals Conceded 3.25 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.25 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2026 Premier League
St Andrew Lions vs Ellerton FC
1:3
Feb 24, 2026 Premier League
St Andrew Lions vs Ellerton FC
1:4
Jul 23, 2023 Premier League
Ellerton FC vs St Andrew Lions
4:1
Apr 5, 2023 Premier League
Ellerton FC vs St Andrew Lions
3:3
Feb 29, 2020 Premier League
St Andrew Lions vs Ellerton FC
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St Andrew Lions 10 / 100
Ellerton FC 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St Andrew Lions Ellerton FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ELL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.

St Andrew Lions scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

Ellerton FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 39 matches.

Recent resilience: St Andrew Lions stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St Andrew Lions VS Ellerton FC
1 Goals Scored 1.88
3.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

St Andrew Lions

(Home)
26 May
UWI Blackbirds
2 : 3
St Andrew Lions
17 May
Kickstart
23 : 0
St Andrew Lions
12 May
St Andrew Lions
1 : 3
Ellerton FC
05 May
Brittons Hill United
4 : 1
St Andrew Lions
25 Apr
St Andrew Lions
1 : 7
Paradise SC
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Ellerton FC

(Away)
28 May
Brittons Hill United
1 : 2
Ellerton FC
20 May
Ellerton FC
2 : 1
Paradise SC
12 May
St Andrew Lions
1 : 3
Ellerton FC
04 May
Ellerton FC
1 : 2
Weymouth Wales
27 Apr
Ellerton FC
1 : 1
Bagatelle SSC
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